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. 2006 Oct 16;103(43):15729–15735. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0603395103

Table 1.

World energy statistics and projections

Quantity Definition Units 2001* 2050 2100
N Population B persons 6.145 9.4 10.4
GDP GDP§ T $/yr 46 140 284
GDP/N Per capita GDP $/(person-yr) 7,470 14,850 27,320
Ė/GDP Energy intensity W/($/yr) 0.294 0.20 0.15
Ė Energy consumption rate TW 13.5 27.6 43.0
C/E Carbon intensity KgC/(W·yr) 0.49 0.40 0.31
Ċ Carbon emission rate GtC/yr 6.57 11.0 13.3
Ċ Equivalent CO2 emission rate GtCO2/yr 24.07 40.3 48.8

*Ė = (403.9 Quads/yr)·(33.4 GWyr/Quad)·(10–3 TW/GW) = 13.5 TW; and Ċ = (24.072 GtCO2/yr)·(12/44 GtC/GtCO2) = 6.565 GtC (adapted from ref. 1).

Ė = (869 EJ/yr)·(106 TJ/EJ)/(60·60·24·365 s/yr) = 27.5 TW [adapted from ref. 2 (Scenario B2), pp. 48–55].

Ė = (1,357 EJ/yr)·(106 TJ/EJ)/(60·60·24·365 s/yr) = 43.0 TW [adapted from ref. 2 (Scenario B2), pp. 48–55].

§All in year 2000 U.S. dollars, using the inflation-adjusted conversions: $2000 = 1/0.81590 $1990 (adapted from ref. 1), and ′purchasing power parity′ exchange rates.

In year 2000 U.S. dollars: (113.9 T$1990)·(1/0.81590 $2000/$1990) = 139.6 T$2000.

In year 2000 U.S. dollars: (231.8 T$1990)·(1/0.81590 $2000/$1990) = 284.1 T$2000.