Table 2. Parametric estimates (with 95% confidence intervals) under the piecewise expansion model for the three genealogies.
Parameter | env | pol | gag |
---|---|---|---|
Substitution rate | 4.20 × 10-3 | 2.46 × 10-3 | 1.22 × 10-3 |
Transition time | 1960 (1955-1963) | 1967 (1962-1970) | 1951 (NA-1957) |
Growth rate, yr-1 | 0.201 (0.167-0.236) | 0.243 (0.197-0.286) | 0.198 (0.164-0.240) |
Current population | 10,109 (5,138-21,218) | 6,183 (3,166-11,896) | 31,636 (13,829-888,070) |
The estimates for the population parameters under the piecewise expansion model are based on the evolutionary rate calibrated by the 1940 date for the MRCA of HIV-2 subtype A. NA, not applicable.