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. 2003 May 12;100(11):6588–6592. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0936469100

Table 2. Parametric estimates (with 95% confidence intervals) under the piecewise expansion model for the three genealogies.

Parameter env pol gag
Substitution rate 4.20 × 10-3 2.46 × 10-3 1.22 × 10-3
Transition time 1960 (1955-1963) 1967 (1962-1970) 1951 (NA-1957)
Growth rate, yr-1 0.201 (0.167-0.236) 0.243 (0.197-0.286) 0.198 (0.164-0.240)
Current population 10,109 (5,138-21,218) 6,183 (3,166-11,896) 31,636 (13,829-888,070)

The estimates for the population parameters under the piecewise expansion model are based on the evolutionary rate calibrated by the 1940 date for the MRCA of HIV-2 subtype A. NA, not applicable.