Table 1. Fitted Parameters of Equation 1 for Each National Football League Team for the 16 Games of the 2004 Regular Season.
Team | Reinforcement sensitivity (a = slope) | Bias (log b = intercept) | Variance accounted for (%) by Equation 1 |
Arizona Cardinals | 0.567 | −0.080 | 67.0 |
Atlanta Falcons | 0.413 | −0.109 | 28.9 |
Baltimore Ravens | 0.528 | −0.054 | 51.9 |
Buffalo Bills | 0.391 | −0.086 | 40.9 |
Carolina Panthers | 0.608 | −0.129 | 61.6 |
Chicago Bears | 0.489 | −0.022 | 62.8 |
Cincinnati Bengals | 0.473 | −0.034 | 40.5 |
Cleveland Brownsa | 0.366 | −0.078 | 22.7 |
Dallas Cowboys | 0.502 | −0.082 | 59.6 |
Denver Broncos | 0.620 | −0.165 | 61.6 |
Detroit Lions | 0.415 | 0.004 | 57.7 |
Green Bay Packers | 0.615 | −0.105 | 64.1 |
Houston Texans | 0.470 | −0.132 | 46.8 |
Indianapolis Colts | 0.585 | −0.150 | 85.3 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | 0.486 | −0.044 | 54.1 |
Kansas City Chiefs | 0.652 | −0.122 | 73.3 |
Miami Dolphins | 0.399 | 0.025 | 23.7 |
Minnesota Vikings | 0.645 | −0.109 | 57.6 |
New England Patriots | 0.575 | −0.167 | 85.3 |
New Orleans Saints | 0.591 | −0.092 | 62.1 |
New York Giants | 0.343 | −0.017 | 38.1 |
New York Jets | 0.537 | −0.149 | 65.7 |
Oakland Raiders | 0.419 | 0.046 | 53.1 |
Philadelphia Eagles | 0.716 | −0.105 | 59.6 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.635 | −0.256 | 57.9 |
San Diego Chargers | 0.900 | −0.232 | 57.8 |
San Francisco 49ers | 0.695 | −1.00 | 77.6 |
Seattle Seahawks | 0.588 | −0.076 | 43.9 |
St. Louis Rams | 0.575 | −0.077 | 74.4 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.663 | −0.136 | 78.6 |
Tennessee Titans | 0.726 | −0.058 | 79.6 |
Washington Redskins | 0.776 | −0.097 | 70.2 |
Analysis based on 15 games. Cleveland accrued negative net passing yards in one game. Because logarithmic transformations can be performed only on positive numbers, this game was omitted from analysis.