Table 10.
Methods and findings from studies comparing population-based and sentinel surveillance antenatal HIV prevalence in India.
Location [Reference] | Data collection year(s) | Sampling approach | Participation rate | Sample size (n) | Number of HIV-positive | Population HIV prevalence as % (95% CI)* | Power of sample size to detect difference from antenatal HIV prevalence at 95% confidence level† | Comments |
Tamil Nadu: 3 districts [7] | 1998 | 90 rural & urban clusters selected using probability proportional to size; selected households from each cluster invited for medical camp; first 25 adults 15–45 years old from each cluster who came to camp included in study | 82.5% for selected households; not mentioned for eligible individuals | 1981 | 34 | Age & sex adjusted: 1.80 (0.89–2.71) | 17% to detect 20% difference from 1% antenatal HIV prevalence | Selection bias likely due to medical camp sampling approach, making interpretation difficult; Grossly underpowered for reliable comparison with antenatal HIV prevalence |
Tamil Nadu: 1 rural sub-district, 1 urban town [8] | 1999–2000 | 120 rural & urban clusters selected using probability proportional to size; 15–40 years old people from randomly selected households included in study | 90.9% of 3–40-year-olds; not mentioned for eligible 15–40-year-olds | 2870 | 29 | Crude: 1.01 (0.44–1.58) | 21% to detect 20% difference from 1% antenatal HIV prevalence | Grossly underpowered for reliable comparison with antenatal HIV prevalence |
Karnataka: 1 district [31,32] | 2003 | 10 villages and 20 urban blocks selected with cluster sampling using probability proportional to size; 15–49-year-olds included in study; further details not published | 59.8% of 6700 eligible 15–49-year-olds | 4008 | 118 | Crude: 2.94 (2.12–3.76) | 50% to detect 20% difference from 2.6% antenatal HIV prevalence | Poor participation rate makes interpretation difficult; Underpowered for reliable comparison with antenatal HIV prevalence |
Andhra Pradesh: 1 district [This study] | 2004–2005 | 5 subdistricts selected to represent strata in district, from which 66 rural & urban clusters selected randomly; 15–49-year-olds from randomly selected households included in study | 91.2% of 13838 eligible 15–49-year-olds | 12617 | 241 | Age, sex & rural-urban adjusted: 1.72 (1.35–2.09) | 93% to detect 20% difference from 3% antenatal HIV prevalence | Adequately powered for reliable comparison with antenatal HIV prevalence |
*Although the two Tamil Nadu papers reported adjusting for cluster design effect, the magnitude of this effect was not reported, and the confidence intervals reported in both these papers are implausibly narrow even if no design effect were considered (cluster design effect widens the confidence interval). The Karnataka study did not report design effect information. Because specific details about cluster design effect in these studies were not available, we used the cluster design effect of 2.44 from our study to calculate the confidence intervals for the other studies, using standard statistical methods [12,24]
†Power calculated assuming cluster design effect of 2.44 for all studies, using standard statistical methods [12,13]; sentinel surveillance antenatal HIV prevalence for comparison as reported in each study.