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. 2003 Mar;52(3):425–432. doi: 10.1136/gut.52.3.425

Table 2.

Twenty year risks of incident liver complications, life expectancy, and quality adjusted life expectancy depending on antiviral treatment (rounded undiscounted values)

No antiviral treatment Interferon plus ribavirin Peginterferon plus fixed ribavirin Peginterferon plus weight based ribavirin
20 year risk (%)
    Compensated cirrhosis 62 34 29 25
    Decompensated cirrhosis 24 14 12 11
    Hepatocellular carcinoma 9.7 5.8 5.3 4.7
    Liver transplantation* 2.3 1.3 1.2 1.1
    Liver-related death 24 14 13 11
Life expectancy (years) 25.8 29.4 30.0 30.5
Quality adjusted life expectancy (QALY) 22.8 26.6 27.1 27.7

*Only first transplantations included (no retransplantations).