Table 5.

Observed and expected deaths from cancer of the oesophagus in successive years according to initial oesophageal disease diagnosis in those cancer free at registration

		Observed by year
Initial oesophageal diagnosis	Expected No/year	1	2	3	4	Total	O/E (95% CI)
Barrett’s disease/ulcer/stricture/oesophagitis (n=5517)	2.0	7	5	6	9	27	3.30 (2.17–4.80)
(Barrett’s disease cases only)* (n=417)	(0.2)	(2)	(1)	(3)	(3)	(9)	11.25 (5.14–21.36)
Hiatal hernia or reflux only (n=6984)	1.5	1	1	1	3	6	1.02 (0.37–2.22)
No oesophageal diagnosis (n=5435)	1.6	3	1	1	0	5	0.77 (0.25–1.80)
Total	5.2	11	7	8	12	38	1.85 (1.31–2.54)

O/E, observed/expected.

*Includes all diagnoses of the condition, irrespective of date of diagnosis.