Table 2.
Coefficients of the Bayesian negative binomial geostatistical model based on overdispersed individual Schistosoma mansoni egg count data, obtained from 31,458 school-age children and young adults in East Africa during 2003-2004.
| Parameter | Spatial Model |
Non-spatial Model |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% Bayesian CI |
95% Bayesian CI |
|||||||
| Posterior Mean | Lower 2.5% | Upper 97.5% | Posterior Median | Posterior Mean | Lower 2.5% | Upper 97.5% | Posterior Median | |
| Intercept | 9.941 | 5.768 | 13.223 | 10.055 | 10.295 | 9.826 | 10.770 | 10.292 |
| Sex (Female)* | −0.413 | −0.721 | −0.106 | −0.414 | −0.463 | −0.590 | −0.336 | −0.463 |
| Elevation | −0.007 | −0.010 | −0.004 | −0.007 | −0.005 | −0.005 | −0.004 | −0.005 |
| Overdispersion parameter | 0.060 | 0.058 | 0.062 | 0.060 | 0.031 | 0.030 | 0.032 | 0.031 |
| Distance to nearest perennial water body† | −5.358 | −7.512 | −3.295 | −5.364 | −4.187 | −4.334 | −4.041 | −4.188 |
| Variance of the spatial random-effect | 24.362 | 19.062 | 32.070 | 23.955 | ||||
| Range of spatial correlation† | 0.137 | 0.091 | 0.198 | 0.134 | ||||
Reference category: Sex (Male).
Unit: decimal degrees. 1 decimal degree = approximately 122 km at the equator.