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. 2006 Aug 17;66(3):313–319. doi: 10.1136/ard.2006.053553

Table 4 Association of psychological factors with persisting symptoms and disability after 3 months in patients with low‐back pain (n = 164).

Persisting symptoms <30% reduction in disability
OR 95% CI OR 95% CI
Pain catastrophising (v<20 points)
 Crude 20–40 1.89 (0.89 to 3.98) 2.81 (0.84 to 9.40)
 >40 2.41 (1.09 to 5.36) 4.88 (1.47 to 16.21)
 Adjusted 20–40 2.00* (0.93 to 4.30) 2.27† (0.66 to 7.79)
 >40 2.45* (1.09 to 5.51) 3.31† (0.93 to 11.85)
Distress (v<15 points)
 Crude 5–35 0.90 (0.42 to 1.94) 1.40 (0.42 to 4.72)
 >35 2.02 (0.94 to 4.34) 3.94 (1.33 to 11.71)
 Adjusted 15–35 0.80* (0.37 to 1.76) 1.51† (0.44 to 5.16)
 >35 1.86* (0.86 to 4.05) 2.99† (0.97 to 9.23)
Somatisation (v<15 points)
 Crude 5–30 0.66 (0.29 to 1.48) 0.56 (0.16 to 1.99)
 >30 2.30 (0.98 to 5.38) 2.77 (0.92 to 8.37)
 Adjusted 15–30 0.63* (0.27 to 1.43) 0.56† (0.15 to 2.00)
 >30 2.14* (0.90 to 5.08) 2.45† (0.79 to 7.60)
Fear‐avoidance beliefs (v<50 points)
 Crude 0–75 1.29* (0.61 to 2.71) 0.84† (0.28 to 2.50)
 >75 1.56* (0.71 to 3.46) 2.17† (0.78 to 6.02)
 Adjusted 50–75 1.45* (0.67 to 3.14) 0.77† (0.25 to 2.34)
 >75 1.58* (0.70 to 3.53) 1.73† (0.60 to 4.99)

*Adjusted for previous episodes of low back pain;

†Adjusted for baseline pain intensity.