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. 2004 Nov;58(5):452–469. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2125.2004.02228.x

Table 1.

Age-related demography in 2000 and projected changes in 10 major countries

2000 Projections for 2025
Country Population (millions) Life expectancy at birth (years) Total above 80 years of age (%) Actual number of centenarians Population (millions) Life expectancy at birth (years) Total above 80 years of age (%) Actual number of centenarians
USA 282 76.6 3.3 51 000 350 80.5 4.5 327 000
Japan 127 80.6 3.8 12 000 120 82.8 9.7 176 000
Germany 82 78.1 3.7 7 000 81 81.2 7.8 76 000
UK 60 77.8 4.0 10 000 64 81.1 5.6 56 000
France 59 78.8 3.7 8 000 63 81.8 6.1 69 000
Italy 58 79.1 4.0 5 000 56 81.9 7.9 73 000
China 1269 71.4 0.9 9 000 1448 77.4 2.3 128 000
India 1002 62.5 0.6 1362 70.9 1.2
Indonesia 224 68.0 0.4 300 75.0 1.5
Brazil 176 70.3 0.8 218 76.5 2.1
Total for the   10 countries 3339 1.33 4067 2.56

Source: US Census Bureau, International Data Base, August 2004.