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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2008 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Addict Behav. 2006 Dec 13;32(7):1511–1518. doi: 10.1016/j.addbeh.2006.11.003

Table 2.

The relative hazards of initiating ecstasy use after first initiating marijuana, cocaine and heroin use, respectively (12-21 year olds). Results from separate Cox proportional hazards models with time-dependent covariates, NSDUH 2002-3.

Drug Initiation Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6
Hazard ratio1
(95%CI)
Hazard ratio2
(95%CI)
Hazard ratio3
(95%CI)
Hazard ratio4
(95%CI)
Hazard ratio5
(95%CI)
Hazard ratio6
(95%CI)
Marjuana Use
Yes 36.7 (32.0-42.0) 29.2 (25.5-33.5) --- --- --- ---
No 1.0 1.0
Cocaine Use
Yes 8.9 (8.1-9.8) 5.9 (5.3-6.5) --- 9.2 (8.4-10.1) 6.0 (5.4-6.6) ---
No 1.0 1.0
Heroin Use
Yes 8.8 (6.9-11.2) 5.1 (4.0-6.5) --- 8.0 (6.1-10.4) 4.7 (3.6-6.1) ---
No 1.0 1.0
12-17 year olds only
Marjuana Use
Yes 36.0 (29.4-44.2) 23.8 (19.3-29.4) --- --- --- ---
No 1.0 1.0
Cocaine Use
Yes 13.9 (11.3-17.2) 6.2 (5.0-7.7) --- 14.1 (11.3-17.5) 6.1 (4.9-7.7) ---
No 1.0 1.0
Heroin Use
Yes 16.3 (10.7-24.3) 6.8 (4.5-10.4) --- 12.8 (7.6-21.4) 5.5 (3.4-9.0) ---
No 1.0 1.0
18-21 year olds only
Marjuana Use
Yes 36.9 (30.7-44.3) 31.7 (26.3-38.1) 31.3 (26.1-37.7) --- --- ---
No 1.0 1.0 1.0
Cocaine Use
Yes 8.1 (7.3-8.9) 6.0 (5.4-6.7) 5.9 (5.3-6.5) 8.4 (7.5-9.3) 6.1 (5.5-6.8) 6.0 (5.4-6.7)
No 1.0 1.0 1.0
Heroin Use
Yes 7.0 (5.2-9.5) 4.6 (3.4-6.3) 4.5 (3.3-6.1) 7.0 (5.1-9.6) 4.7 (3.4-6.4) 4.5 (3.3-6.2)
No 1.0 1.0 1.0
1

adjusted for race and sex.

2

adjusted for race, sex and deviant behaviors.

3

adjusted for race, sex, deviant behaviors, and depressive and panic symptoms (mental healthy symptoms only available for those 18 and older).

4

adjusted for race, sex and marijuana initiation.

5

adjusted for race, sex, marijuana initiation and deviant behaviors.

6

adjusted for race, sex, marijuana initiation, deviant behaviors, and depressive and panic symptoms (mental healthy symptoms only available for those 18 and older).