. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2007 Jul 23.

Published in final edited form as: Am J Cardiol. 2007 Mar 13;99(9):1236–1241. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2006.12.035

Table 4.

C statistic and area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve using either the Personal HEART Score or the Framingham Risk Score or European SCORE to predict incident coronary heart disease in the holdout sample.

	Men				Women
	C	ROC Area	95% CI	P¹	C	ROC Area	95% CI	P¹
Personal HEART Score	0.649	0.649	0.627–0.671		0.788	0.788	0.772–0.804
Framingham Risk Score	0.691	0.691	0.670–0.712	0.03	0.808	0.808	0.792–0.823	0.42
European SCORE	0.619	0.619	0.597–0.641	0.12	0.687	0.687	0.668–0.705	0.01

P value compared to Personal HEART Score.