Table 5. Performance of decision rules for identifying cases of diabetes.
| TPR | PV+ | TNR | PV− | % of population | Screening rule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.00 | 3.46 | 17.5 | 100.00 | 83.00 | 1. One risk factor |
| 99.67 | 4.08 | 30.65 | 99.97 | 70.22 | 2. One risk factor in those ≥30 yr |
| 98.30 | 4.79 | 42.20 | 99.88 | 58.97 | 3. Any two risk factors |
| 97.97 | 5.26 | 47.88 | 99.88 | 53.44 | 4. Any two risk factors in those ≥30 yr |
| 83.97 | 5.75 | 58.89 | 99.19 | 42.35 | 5. Anyone ≥45 yr |
| 99.61 | 3.69 | 22.22 | 99.95 | 78.42 | 6. Anyone ≥30 yr |
| 88.60 | 5.50 | 54.47 | 99.38 | 46.78 | 7. White ≥45 or black ≥35 or Mexican American ≥32 (or others ≥45) yr |
| 95.01 | 4.61 | 41.22 | 99.64 | 59.84 | 8. Whites ≥40 or non-White ≥30 yr |
| 85.85 | 4.61 | 46.88 | 99.11 | 54.07 | 9. BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 |
| 100.00 | 3.76 | 23.55 | 100.0 | 77.14 | 10. Whites ≥40 or non-white ≥30 yr) or BMI ≥25 kg/m2 |
| 48.93 | 8.19 | 83.53 | 98.20 | 17.42 | 11. HDL ≤35 or triglycerides ≥250 mg/dl |
| 98.45 | 4.34 | 34.90 | 99.87 | 66.07 | 12. Whites ≥40 or non-white ≥30 yr) or (HDL ≤35 or triglycerides ≥250 mg/dl) |
| 1.75 | 13.99 | 99.68 | 97.16 | 0.36 | 13. Gestational diabetes |
| 96.09 | 4.61 | 40.99 | 99.72 | 60.08 | 14. (Whites ≥40 or non-white ≥30 yr) or gestational diabetes |
TPR, true-positive rate or sensitivity; PV+, predictive value positive; TNR, true-negative rate or specificity; PV−, predictive value negative.