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. 2003 Aug 18;100(18):10574–10579. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1733839100

Table 5. Performance of decision rules for identifying cases of diabetes.

TPR PV+ TNR PV− % of population Screening rule
100.00 3.46 17.5 100.00 83.00 1. One risk factor
99.67 4.08 30.65 99.97 70.22 2. One risk factor in those ≥30 yr
98.30 4.79 42.20 99.88 58.97 3. Any two risk factors
97.97 5.26 47.88 99.88 53.44 4. Any two risk factors in those ≥30 yr
83.97 5.75 58.89 99.19 42.35 5. Anyone ≥45 yr
99.61 3.69 22.22 99.95 78.42 6. Anyone ≥30 yr
88.60 5.50 54.47 99.38 46.78 7. White ≥45 or black ≥35 or Mexican American ≥32 (or others ≥45) yr
95.01 4.61 41.22 99.64 59.84 8. Whites ≥40 or non-White ≥30 yr
85.85 4.61 46.88 99.11 54.07 9. BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2
100.00 3.76 23.55 100.0 77.14 10. Whites ≥40 or non-white ≥30 yr) or BMI ≥25 kg/m2
48.93 8.19 83.53 98.20 17.42 11. HDL ≤35 or triglycerides ≥250 mg/dl
98.45 4.34 34.90 99.87 66.07 12. Whites ≥40 or non-white ≥30 yr) or (HDL ≤35 or triglycerides ≥250 mg/dl)
1.75 13.99 99.68 97.16 0.36 13. Gestational diabetes
96.09 4.61 40.99 99.72 60.08 14. (Whites ≥40 or non-white ≥30 yr) or gestational diabetes

TPR, true-positive rate or sensitivity; PV+, predictive value positive; TNR, true-negative rate or specificity; PV−, predictive value negative.