Table 4.

Effect of Cash and Counseling on Annual Expenditures for Nonpersonal Care/Nonwaiver Services and Total Medicaid Services during Second Postenrollment Year

	Nonpersonal Care/Nonwaiver Costs (Dollars)				Total Medicaid Costs (Dollars)
Dependent Variable	Predicted Treatment Group Mean	Predicted Control Group Mean	Estimated Effect	p-value	Predicted Treatment Group Mean	Predicted Control Group Mean	Estimated Effect	p-value
Arkansas
Nonelderly (n =385)	8,998	11,460	−2,462	.051	14,027	13,469	559	.677
Elderly (n =929)	6,425	7,704	−1,279	.009	9,820	9,438	382	.478
Florida
Nonelderly (n =833)	5,312	5,154	158	.741	30,243	26,645	3,598	.001
Elderly (n =591)	6,970	6,558	412	.668	15,953	14,886	1,067	.320
Children (n =1,002)	14,599	16,830	−2,231	.098	33,458	30,877	2581	.082
New Jersey
Nonelderly (n =671)	12,653	13,411	−758	.548	24,425	21,539	2,887	.042
Elderly (n =776)	9,077	8,579	498	.569	20,015	17,975	2,040	.048

Means predicted using ordinary least squares regression models that controlled for baseline measures of the consumer's demographic characteristics, health and functioning, unmet needs for personal care, baseline care plan value, preenrollment Medicaid expenditures, preenrollment diagnoses, the consumer's length of time enrolled in Medicaid, and whether they were enrolled in Medicare, a health maintenance organization, and other Medicaid waiver programs.

For adults, year 2 results pertain to those who enrolled earlier than May 1, 2000 in Arkansas; October 1, 2001 in Florida; and January 1, 2002 in New Jersey.

Source: Medicaid claims data.