Table 2 Estimated absolute probabilities of the occurrence of various end points 1 month or 6 months after angioplasty or thrombolytic treatment, together with the odds ratios comparing primary angioplasty and thrombolysis and probabilities that angioplasty is superior.
| End points | Probability (angioplasty)* Mean (95%CrI) | Probability (thrombolytics)* Mean (95%CrI) | Odds ratio (95%CrI) | Probability angioplasty superior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At 1 month | ||||
| Death | 4.5 (3.0 to 6.5) | 6.4 (4.5 to 9.0) | 0.68 (0.46 to 1.01) | 0.97 |
| Non‐fatal reinfarction | 2.0 (1.2 to 3.1) | 6.1 (4.1 to 8.5) | 0.32 (0.20 to 0.51) | 1.00 |
| Non‐fatal stroke | 0.5 (0.2 to 0.9) | 1.9 (1.0 to 3.2) | 0.24 (0.11 to 0.50) | 1.00 |
| At 6 months | ||||
| Death | 5.5 (3.4 to 8.8) | 7.7 (5.0 to 11.8) | 0.70 (0.42 to 1.18) | 0.93 |
| Non‐fatal reinfarction | 2.6 (1.4 to 4.8) | 6.9 (4.4 to 10.7) | 0.33 (0.20 to 0.67) | 0.99 |
| Non‐fatal stroke | 0.8 (0.2 to 1.0) | 2.8 (1.1 to 6.9) | 0.26 (0.08 to 0.72) | 0.99 |
*Results are given as percentages.
The results are for the average observed “angioplasty‐related time delay” (ie, 54.3 minutes).