Table 2. Effect of inbreeding, the environment (measured with eleven environmental axes) and their interaction on recruitment in the great tit.

	Environmental axis	Population density	Local oak density	Female age	Male age	Local population density	Distance to edge	Caterpillar lag	Yearly quality in fledging mass	Winter beech mast	Phenotypic CV	Yearly quality in recruitment
		n = 4365	n = 4322	n = 4345	n = 4325	n = 4304	n = 4340	n = 3711	n = 4365	n = 4365	n = 4365	n = 4365
Inbreeding	Wald	5.54	7.78	6.95	7.57	7.58	7.66	5.43	7.75	5.58	6.81	8.05
	P	0.019*	0.005**	0.008**	0.006**	0.006**	0.006**	0.020*	0.005**	0.018*	0.009**	0.005**
	parameter estimate (S.E.)	−1.93 (0.82)	−2.19 (0.79)	−2.07 (0.79)	−2.16 (0.79)	−2.20 (0.80)	−2.19 (0.79)	−2.05 (0.88)	−2.42 (0.87)	−1.90 (0.81)	−2.11 (0.81)	−2.37 (0.84)
Environmental axis	Wald	53.20	0.13	0.56	5.30	2.94	11.75	0.08	96.98	239.89	366.50	421.70
	P	<0.001***	0.713	0.456	0.021*	0.087	<0.001***	0.783	<0.001***	<0.001***	<0.001***	<0.001***
	parameter estimate (S.E.)	0.31 (0.04)	−0.02 (0.04)	−0.03 (0.03)	0.08 (0.03)	0.07 (0.04)	0.13 (0.04)	0.01 (0.04)	0.36 (0.04)	0.53 (0.03)	0.67 (0.04)	0.73 (0.04)
Inbreeding * Environmental axis	Wald	0.24	0.17	1.30	0.32	1.37	2.31	0.11	5.97	0.39	0.54	2.06
	P	0.622	0.679	0.255	0.571	0.241	0.128	0.742	0.015*	0.533	0.462	0.152
	parameter estimate (S.E.)	−0.82 (1.66)	−0.64 (1.56)	−1.73 (1.52)	−0.85 (1.49)	−1.85 (1.58)	2.48 (1.63)	0.57(1.72)	3.98 (1.63)	−0.99 (1.58)	1.26 (1.71)	2.77 (1.93)
Model: Sector +Clutch size+Egg laying date+…			+year	+year	+year	+year	+year	“egg laying date” excluded from the model

Generalised linear mixed model with Poisson errors, logarithm link and parental identity fitted as random effects.

^*: P<0.05;

^**: P<0.01;

^***: P<0.001.