TABLE 2.
Uniform prior distribution and observed data for S. enterica serotype Enteritidis phage types in contaminated egg-laying flocks
| Prior distributiona
|
Observed S. enterica serotype Enteritidis phage types
|
||
|---|---|---|---|
| No. of phage types/flock | Prior probability specificationb | No. of phage types/flock | No. of flocks (n = 20) |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Data represent uniform prior distribution (Dirichlet) specifying between one and five S. enterica serotype Enteritidis phage types in contaminated egg-laying flocks. Weight = data from 5 flocks for prior distribution.
Specification of current belief. The cumulative sum of specifications indicates weight.