Table 2.
Results of the spatial-error model
| Dependent variable | Poverty incidence coefficient | SE | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constant | 0.86067 | 0.03176 | 0.00000 |
| Demographic | |||
| Population density | −0.00006 | 0.00001 | 0.00002 |
| Provincial dummy variables | |||
| reg2 (Central) | −0.14724 | 0.01140 | 0.00000 |
| reg3 (Coast) | 0.06534 | 0.01443 | 0.00001 |
| reg4 (East) | 0.10896 | 0.00883 | 0.00000 |
| reg5 (North Eastern) | 0.23308 | 0.01480 | 0.00000 |
| reg6 (Nyanza) | 0.13937 | 0.00917 | 0.00000 |
| reg8 (Western) | 0.09460 | 0.01181 | 0.00000 |
| Distance and travel time | |||
| Mean distance to nearest town of 200,000 people | −0.00003 | 0.00000 | 0.00000 |
| Average travel time to tarmac or murram road (minutes) | 0.00001 | 0.0000 | 0.0776 |
| Land use | |||
| Percentage location under grass | −0.00144 | 0.00026 | 0.00000 |
| Percentage location under farmland | 0.00008 | 0.00015 | 0.57360 |
| Percentage location wooded | 0.00036 | 0.00014 | 0.01020 |
| Percentage location that is built up | −0.01330 | 0.00282 | 0.00000 |
| Rangeland (dummy) | 0.01262 | 0.00651 | 0.05267 |
| Natural factors | |||
| Average elevation (meters above sea level) | −0.00174 | 0.00077 | 0.02279 |
| Percentage of location with 4–8% slope | 0.00118 | 0.00020 | 0.00000 |
| Percentage of location with 8–15% slope | 0.00002 | 0.00024 | 0.94537 |
| Percent of location with 15–30% slope | −0.00019 | 0.00031 | 0.54445 |
| Percent of location with >30% slope | 0.00213 | 0.00035 | 0.00000 |
| Percentage of location with LGP <60 days | 0.00026 | 0.00013 | 0.05257 |
| Percentage of location with LGP 180 days | −0.00032 | 0.00010 | 0.00169 |
| Good soil (dummy) | −0.01132 | 0.00516 | 0.02820 |
| λ | 0.19945 | 0.08684 | 0.02163 |
| Observations | 2,232 | ||
| Pseudo R2 | 0.5320 | ||
| Akaike information criterion: | −3891.33 | ||
| Log likelihood | 1,968.665 |