Table 3.
Trends in incidence | Trends in hospital mortality | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Risk difference | Relative risk | Risk difference | Relative risk | ||||||
Age | Hospital register | Linked registers | Hospital register | Linked registers | Hospital register | Linked registers | Hospital register | Linked registers | |
Men | <30 | 0 (0 to 1) | 0 (0 to 1) | 1.16 (0.80 to 1.68) | 1.36 (0.83 to 2.22) | 5.0 (−2.5 to 12.5) | 7.2 (−4.9 to 19.4) | 3.59 (0.41 to 31.07) | 3.03 (0.36 to 25.62) |
30–39 | −1 (−6 to 4) | 1 (−4 to 5) | 0.98 (0.87 to 1.10) | 1.02 (0.88 to 1.18) | −0.4 (−2.5 to 1.6) | 0.7 (−1.7 to 3.1) | 0.87 (0.44 to 1.72) | 1.30 (0.53 to 3.20) | |
40–49 | −28 (−39 to −17) | −30 (−41 to −19) | 0.87 (0.82 to 0.92) | 0.83 (0.77 to 0.89) | −0.1 (−1.1 to 0.9) | −1.2 (−2.4 to 0.0) | 0.97 (0.71 to 1.33) | 0.69 (0.46 to 1.02) | |
50–59 | −102 (−122 to −83) | −78 (−97 to −59) | 0.80 (0.77 to 0.83) | 0.81 (0.77 to 0.85) | −0.7 (−1.5 to 0.1) | −0.6 (−1.5 to 0.4) | 0.84 (0.68 to 1.04) | 0.86 (0.67 to 1.12) | |
60–69 | −211 (−242 to −181) | −181 (−210 to −152) | 0.76 (0.73 to 0.79) | 0.75 (0.72 to 0.79) | −1.2 (−2.3 to −0.2) | −1.2 (−2.4 to 0.0) | 0.86 (0.75 to 0.98) | 0.86 (0.73 to 1.00) | |
70–79 | −218 (−265 to −172) | −186 (−229 to −143) | 0.82 (0.79 to 0.86) | 0.82 (0.78 to 0.86) | −1.7 (−3.2 to −0.2) | −1.7 (−3.5 to 0.0) | 0.90 (0.82 to 0.99) | 0.90 (0.81 to 1.00) | |
80–89 | −110 (−192 to −28) | −121 (−196 to −45) | 0.91 (0.85 to 0.98) | 0.88 (0.82 to 0.95) | −3.8 (−6.8 to −0.8) | −3.0 (−6.4 to 0.4) | 0.87 (0.77 to 0.97) | 0.89 (0.79 to 1.01) | |
≥90 | −276 (−470 to −81) | −196 (−370 to −23) | 0.67 (0.51 to 0.89) | 0.70 (0.51 to 0.96) | 12.3 (−1.3 to 26.0) | 18.1 (2.9 to 33.3) | 1.35 (0.97 to 1.89) | 1.56 (1.07 to 2.26) | |
Total | Crude | −32 (−37 to −27) | −31 (−36 to −27) | 0.87 (0.86 to 0.89) | 0.86 (0.84 to 0.88) | −1.1 (−1.8 to −0.5) | −1.1 (−1.8 to −0.4) | 0.89 (0.84 to 0.95) | 0.90 (0.84 to 0.96) |
Adj1 | −48 (−53 to −43) | −46 (−51 to −41) | 0.82 (0.80 to 0.83) | 0.80 (0.78 to 0.82) | −1.2 (−1.8 to −0.6) | −1.2 (−1.9 to −0.5) | 0.89 (0.84 to 0.94) | 0.89 (0.83 to 0.96) | |
Women | <30 | 0 (0 to 1) | 0 (0 to 1) | 1.21 (0.64 to 2.32) | 3.34 (1.09 to 10.23) | −0.9 (−15.6 to 13.8) | −17.3 (−62.1 to 28) | 0.85 (0.06 to 12.59) | 0.31 (0.02 to 3.88) |
30–39 | 2 (−1 to 4) | 0 (−2 to 3) | 1.20 (0.94 to 1.53) | 1.05 (0.78 to 1.42) | −3.5 (−8.9 to 2.0) | −2.8 (−9.1 to 3.6) | 0.50 (0.17 to 1.49) | 0.55 (0.13 to 2.22) | |
40–49 | 8 (3 to 13) | 6 (0 to 11) | 1.22 (1.07 to 1.38) | 1.18 (1.01 to 1.37) | 1.3 (−1.5 to 4.2) | 1.6 (−1.9 to 5.1) | 1.27 (0.75 to 2.17) | 1.31 (0.71 to 2.40) | |
50–59 | −18 (−27 to −8) | −15 (−24 to −6) | 0.84 (0.77 to 0.92) | 0.84 (0.76 to 0.94) | 0.0 (−1.9 to 2.0) | −0.2 (−2.6 to 2.1) | 1.01 (0.68 to 1.04) | 0.96 (0.61 to 1.51) | |
60–69 | −64 (−81 to −46) | −66 (−83 to −50) | 0.79 (0.74 to 0.84) | 0.75 (0.69 to 0.80) | −0.8 (−2.6 to 1.1) | −0.9 (−2.9 to 1.2) | 0.92 (0.75 to 0.98) | 0.90 (0.71 to 1.15) | |
70–79 | −109 (−136 to −83) | −90 (−116 to −64) | 0.81 (0.77 to 0.85) | 0.82 (0.77 to 0.86) | −2.1 (−4.0 to −0.2) | −1.9 (−4.1 to 0.3) | 0.89 (0.82 to 0.99) | 0.90 (0.79 to 1.02) | |
80–89 | −107 (−149 to −64) | −94 (−134 to −54) | 0.86 (0.81 to 0.91) | 0.85 (0.80 to 0.91) | −2.0 (−4.8 to 0.7) | −2.5 (−5.7 to 0.6) | 0.93 (0.77 to 0.97) | 0.92 (0.83 to 1.02) | |
≥90 | −40 (−125 to 44) | −41 (−121 to 39) | 0.92 (0.77 to 1.10) | 0.90 (0.75 to 1.10) | −9.0 (−17.6 to −0.5) | −6.2 (−15.5 to 3.1) | 0.78 (0.97 to 1.89) | 0.85 (0.66 to 1.09) | |
Total | Crude | −15 (−18 to −12) | −15 (−18 to −12) | 0.87 (0.85 to 0.90) | 0.86 (0.84 to 0.88) | −1.8 (−2.9 to −0.7) | −1.6 (−2.9 to −0.3) | 0.90 (0.84 to 0.95) | 0.91 (0.85 to 0.98) |
Adj1 | −18 (−22 to −15) | −18 (−21 to −14) | 0.85 (0.82 to 0.87) | 0.83 (0.81 to 0.86) | −1.6 (−2.7 to −0.5) | −1.6 (−2.9 to −0.4) | 0.91 (0.85 to 0.97) | 0.91 (0.85 to 0.98) |
1 Pooled age-adjusted risk difference or ratio (with 95% confidence interval)