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. 2007 May 1;4(16):819–829. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2007.1015

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Stochastic SI model. Two stochastic replicates of SI model (with N=400 and I(0)=4) demonstrating variation in delay times and similarity of epidemic phases. Note that, although increasingly unlikely, the delay time could be arbitrarily large with no extinction of the pathogen (β=1.04 contacts per day; parameters from Van Gerwe et al. 2005).