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. 2007 Jul 1;57(540):530–537.

Table 4.

Post-test probabilities (95% CI).

Category of interest Derivation Validation Derivation Validation

Pre-test probability, %

10 13

% with sign Post-test probability, % (95% CI)
Neither sign 73 66 6.5 (3.1 to 11.7) 13.7 (7.5 to 22.3)

Chest signs only 16 21 18.2 (6.9 to 35) 13.8 (3.9 to 32)

Fever only 9 8 27.8 (9.6 to 53) 9.1 (0 to 41)

Both signs 2 5 40.0 (5.2 to 85) 0 (0 to 37)