Table 5.

Simulated true and cumulative relative risks (RR's) for TELIC 1/Era that would be observed at each wave if the misclassification rates correspond to the percentage of discrepancies* and the relative risks and the prevalence rates correspond to those observed for multiple physical symptoms and PTSD

Prevalence (%)		True RR	Simulated cumulative 'observed' relative risks
Observed	True
			Wave 1	Wave 2	Wave 3	Wave 4+ (observed)
Multiple Symptoms
10.84	6	3.05	1.26	1.26	1.24	1.22
	8	2.15	1.24	1.24	1.23	1.22
	10	1.83	1.24	1.24	1.23	1.22
	12	1.65	1.24	1.24	1.23	1.22
	14	1.52	1.23	1.23	1.23	1.22
	16	1.44	1.23	1.23	1.22	1.22
PTSD
3.9	11	1.9	1.13	1.13	1.11	1.09
	12	1.40	1.11	1.11	1.10	1.09
	13	1.25	1.10	1.10	1.09	1.09

*Simulations are based on the cumulative percent misclassification of 12.84, 12.85, 13.07, 13.22, i.e. the cumulative percentages of discrepant 2.