. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2008 Jan 30.

Published in final edited form as: J Clin Psychol. 2006 Jun;62(6):735–750. doi: 10.1002/jclp.20259

Table 4.

Logistic Regression Analyses Predicting 16-Year Outcomes From Personal Characteristics at Baseline and the Duration of Alcoholics Anonymous (AA) in Year 1, Years 2–3, and Years 4–8

	16-Year outcomes

Predictors	Abstain	Drink problems	Self-efficacy	Depression	Social functioning
Personal factors
Gender (Female = 1)	.06	−.39	.60^**	−.37	.24
Marital status (Married = 1)	.01	−.36	.55^*	−.41	.07
Baseline value of outcome	1.23	1.13^*	.44	.58^*	1.49^**
Duration of AA
Duration in Year 1	.30^**	−.22^*	.19^*	−.13	.25^**
Duration in Yrs 2–3	.29^**	−.26^**	.43^**	−.01	.20^*
Duration in Yrs 4–8	.19^*	−.02	−.03	.02	−.13
Intercept	−1.02	−.81	−.93	−1.15	−1.66
Model χ²	59.35^**	35.79^**	60.61^**	12.27	43.99^**
Nagelkerke R²	.16	.10	.17	.04	.13

Note. Partial regression coefficients are shown; N = 461 and df = 5 for each analysis.

p< .05.

^**

p< .01.