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. 2007 May 23;16(11):1822–1831. doi: 10.1007/s00586-007-0378-y

Table 3.

Absolute regression equations on determinants of net-health-benefit (NHB)

Determinant NHB100 NHB250 NHB500 NHB750 NHB1,000 NHB2,500 NHB5,000 NHB
Age −1 (−3;1) −1 (−2;1) −1 (−2;1) 0 (−2;1) 0 (−2;1) 0 (−1;1) 0 (−1;1) 0 (−1;1)
Female −26 (−55;2) −15 (−32;2) −12 (−26;3) −11 (−25;4) −10 (−24;4) −9 (−23;5) −9 (−22;5) −8 (−21;6)
Diagnosis
 Primary degeneration (vs. spondylolisthesis) 37 (−4;71) −20 (−42;4) −14 (−34;7) −14 (−31;4) −12 (−29;5) −10 (−26;7) −9 (−25;8) −7 (−26;13)
 Secondary degeneration (vs. primary deg.) 50 (−86; −14) 25 (−45; −3) −17 (−34;2) −12 (−31;9) −11 (−30;9) −9 (−28;11) −9 (−28;11) −11 (−27;6)
Duration of pain >2 years. −23 (−52;6) −16 (−35;3) −14 (−30;2) −13 (−29;2) −13 (−28;3) −12 (−27;3) −12 (−27;3) −12 (−27;3)
Smoking 34 (−61; −6) 29 (−46; −12) 28 (−42; −12) 27 (−41; −12) 27 (−41; −12) 26 (−40; −12) 26 (−40; −12) 26 (−39; −12)
Occupational status
 On sick leave (vs. working) −123 (−320;60) −31 (−136;79) 0 (−87;93) 9 (−74;99) 14 (−68;102) 24 (−56;108) 27 (−53;111) 35 (−44;119)
 Retired due to sickness (vs. working) 71 (−126;273) −26 (−146;98) −58 (−161;41) −69 (−168;33) −75 (−171;26) −84 (−178;13) −87 (−180;9) −83 (−175;13)
 Pension due to age (vs. working) −103 (−434;241) −10 (−216;213) 20 (−164;215) 31 (−151;219) 36 (−134;221) 45 (−131;230) 48 (−128;232) 44 (−135;227)
Disability/emotional distress
 Severe disability (vs. moderate-intermediate) −3 (−40;34) 16 (−7;38) 20 (0;40) 21 (2;40) 22 (3;41) 24 (4;42) 24 (5;43) 24 (5;43)
 Emotional distress (vs. severe disability) 31 (−1;59) 45 (26;52) 49 (33;65) 51 (35;56) 52 (35;67) 53 (38;68) 53 (38;68) 54 (39;69)
Surgical technique
 Instrumented posterolateral (vs. non-inst.) −25 (−67;16) −16 (−34;3) −6 (−29;18) −4 (−27;19) −3 (−26;20) −2 (−24;21) −1 (−23;21) −1 (−23;21)
 Circumferential (vs. inst. posterolateral) 31 (2;60) 11 (−16;38) 10 (−6;26) 9 (−7;24) 8 (−8;23) 6 (−9;21) 6 (−9;21) 6 (−10;21)
Number of vertebral levels fused >1 −5 (−36;27) −1 (−21;18) −0 (−17;16) 0 (−16;16) 0 (-15;16) 1 (-15;16) 1 (-15;16) 1 (-14;17)
 n 566 566 566 566 566 566 566 566
 Probability >F <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001
 R2 0.1027 0.1256 0.1449 0.1523 0.1559 0.1622 0.1642 0.1660
 Adj. R2 0.0749 0.0985 0.1184 0.1260 0.1298 0.1362 0.1383 0.1402
 Root MSE 163.31 100.92 87.31 84.24 83.03 81.43 81.08 80.81

Values are regression coefficients (95% bias-corrected, bootstrapped CI) over hypothetical values of decision-makers’ threshold for willingness-to-pay per effect unit (λ in 2004-EUR). NHB = health-effect − (societal costs/λ); hence, the influence of costs decreases with increasing values of λ and NHB is equivalent to the equation of health effects alone. Health effect was reduction of functional disability from pre-operative to 2 years post-operative measured by the Dallas Pain Questionnaire and summarized into a single index value with range [-400;400]. Interaction variables between occupational status and age were included in equations although not listed, thus, the listed variables of occupational status and age are main-effect dummy variables. Significant determinants (P < 0.05) are in italics