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. 2008 Feb 1;58(547):93–97. doi: 10.3399/bjgp08X264054

Table 2.

Characteristics of the chest X-ray as test for identification of patients with a bacterial infection.

Radiographic findings

Pneumonia, % (95% CI) Signs of infection, % (95% CI)
At observed prevalence (41/84)
 Sensitivity 29 (16 to 46) 46 (31 to 63)
 Specificity 91 (75 to 97) 79 (64 to 90)
 Positive predictive value 75 (48 to 93) 68 (48 to 84)
 Negative predictive value 57 (45 to 69) 61 (47 to 74)

At maximum prevalence (86/129)a
 Positive predictive value 85 (65 to 96) 80 (65 to 90)
 Negative predictive value 38 (29 to 47) 41 (30 to 52)

At minimal prevalence (41/129)a
 Positive predictive value 46 (27 to 65) 42 (28 to 58)
 Negative predictive value 72 (63 to 81) 74 (63 to 83)
a

For the ‘maximum prevalence’ all aetiological unknown cases were considered as of bacterial origin, and for the ‘minimal prevalence’ these cases were considered as of viral origin.