Table 3. Sensitivity analysis of price elasticity at 60 % tax increase.
| Change in price elasticity
(%) |
Change in adult smoking prevalence
(%) |
Change in cumulative gain in Lys
(millions) |
Change in cumulative gain in QALYs
(millions) |
Change in reduction in number of packs used
(billions) |
Change in cumulative gain in tax revenue
(billions) |
Change in cumulative reduction in medical care costs
(billions) |
Change in total savings
(billions) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -50 | 2.7 | -4.24 | -7.36 | -23.86 | -48.24 | -176.50 | -224.74 |
| -25 | 1.2 | -2.00 | -3.42 | -11.03 | -22.31 | -81.50 | -103.81 |
| 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 25 | -1.0 | 1.80 | 3.02 | 9.66 | 19.52 | 71.10 | 90.62 |
| 50 | -1.8 | 3.45 | 5.70 | 18.22 | 36.84 | 133.80 | 170.64 |