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. 2007 Dec 21;74(4):1004–1018. doi: 10.1128/AEM.01203-07

TABLE 3.

Assumptions used in risk calculations

Parameter Symbol Unit Distribution Reference
Fraction of organisms ingested that initiate infection (r value)
    Giardia rg Unitless Empirical (2.5th = 0.009798; 12.5th = 0.01336; 25th = 0.01584; 50th = 0.0198; 75th = 0.02466; 87.5th = 0.02845; 97.5th = 0.03582) 44; calculated based on likelihood confidence intervals
    Cryptosporidium rc Unitless Empirical (5th = 0.0074; 25th = 0.0227; 50th = 0.0539; 75th = 0.1197; 95th = 0.3044) 62
Incidental sediment ingestion rate IRsed mg/day Triangular Selected based on a
    Recreator Minimum = 25, mode = 100, maximum = 200     review of sediment
    Visitor Minimum = 25, mode = 50, maximum = 95     ingestion rates
    Homeless person Minimum = 25, mode = 200, maximum = 350     provided in regulatory guidance and recent health assessments
Exposure frequency EF Days/yr Triangular Selected based on a
    Recreator Minimum = 1, mode = 12, maximum = 95     review of sediment
    Visitor Minimum = 1, mode = 2, maximum = 12     ingestion rates
    Homeless person Minimum = 1, mode = 24, maximum = 150     provided in regulatory guidance and recent health assessments. Maximum number of days limited by meteorological factors such as precipitation and temperature
Incidental water ingestion rate, swimming (for bacterial calculations) IRswim ml/day Triangular (minimum = 10, mode = 16, maximum = 100) 20