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. 2008 Feb 19;105(7):2740–2744. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0704354105

Table 2.

The total number of collapses and recoveries based upon the 10% criterion alone, compared with the numbers we derived from our management-informed criteria

10% criterion of Worm et al. (9) Our criteria Both Misinterpretations
Collapses 58 15 12 43 False positives
Recoveries 40 6 6 36 False negatives

A false positive means that the 10% criterion identified a collapse in a case where reductions in fishery catches were attributable to changes in regulations, market forces, or fishing effort. A false negative means that catches increased for similar reasons.