TABLE 8.

Migration estimates when sampling 50 individuals per population

Parameter	True value	Posterior estimate	RMSE	95% HPDI
m11	0.700	0.702	<0.001	(0.612; 0.790)
m12	0.023	0.026	0.043	(0.003; 0.056)
m13	0.003	0.002	0.070	(0.000; 0.010)
m14	0.274	0.270	0.001	(0.185; 0.356)
m21	0.018	0.011	0.149	(0.000; 0.029)
m22	0.700	0.722	0.001	(0.632; 0.808)
m23	0.227	0.220	0.001	(0.142; 0.301)
m24	0.055	0.047	0.025	(0.013; 0.086)
m31	0.259	0.238	0.007	(0.158; 0.322)
m32	0.028	0.026	0.030	(0.003; 0.055)
m33	0.700	0.725	0.001	(0.637; 0.811)
m34	0.013	0.011	0.033	(0.000; 0.028)
m41	0.149	0.136	0.008	(0.074; 0.201)
m42	0.081	0.075	0.006	(0.031; 0.124)
m43	0.070	0.067	0.001	(0.025; 0.115)
m44	0.700	0.721	0.001	(0.634; 0.808)

Estimates based on the posterior mean, RMSE, and 95% HPDI are reported for synthetic data generated with proportions of nonmigrant alleles set to m_ii = 0.70 and the level of genetic differentiation set to F_ST = 0.25.