TABLE 9.

Migration rate estimates when sampling 100 individuals per population

Parameter	True value	Posterior estimate	RMSE	95% HPDI
m11	0.700	0.710	<0.001	(0.647; 0.772)
m12	0.023	0.020	0.018	(0.004; 0.038)
m13	0.003	0.002	0.218	(0.000; 0.006)
m14	0.274	0.269	<0.001	(0.208; 0.323)
m21	0.018	0.020	0.014	(0.005; 0.038)
m22	0.700	0.710	<0.001	(0.647; 0.772)
m23	0.227	0.220	0.001	(0.165; 0.277)
m24	0.055	0.050	0.009	(0.023; 0.079)
m31	0.259	0.256	<0.001	(0.198; 0.317)
m32	0.028	0.025	0.009	(0.007; 0.046)
m33	0.700	0.704	<0.001	(0.640; 0.766)
m34	0.013	0.014	0.013	(0.002; 0.029)
m41	0.149	0.142	0.002	(0.097; 0.190)
m42	0.081	0.079	0.001	(0.045; 0.115)
m43	0.070	0.064	0.007	(0.033; 0.098)
m44	0.700	0.715	<0.001	(0.652; 0.777)

Estimates based on the posterior mean, RMSE, and 95% HPDI are reported for synthetic data generated with proportions of nonmigrant alleles set to m_ii = 0.70 and the level of genetic differentiation set to F_ST = 0.25.