Table 3.
Variable | Follow-up at two years | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Placebo | Rifampicin | Odds ratio (95% CI)* | P value | NNT† | ||||
No leprosy | Leprosy | No leprosy | Leprosy | |||||
Age (years): | ||||||||
5-9 | 1552 | 5 | 1608 | 4 | 0.77 (0.21 to 2.87) | 0.6992 | 1370 | |
10-14 | 1645 | 12 | 1616 | 2 | 0.17 (0.04 to 0.76) | 0.0205 | 167 | |
15-19 | 1107 | 7 | 1042 | 5 | 0.76 (0.24 to 2.39) | 0.6372 | 663 | |
20-29 | 1705 | 10 | 1688 | 1 | 0.10 (0.01 to 0.79) | 0.0285 | 191 | |
≥30 | 3962 | 33 | 4011 | 17 | 0.51 (0.28 to 0.91) | 0.0237 | 248 | |
Genetic distance to index patient: | ||||||||
Closely related‡ | 1585 | 18 | 1507 | 13 | 0.76 (0.35 to 1.65) | 0.4862 | 374 | |
Not closely related§ | 8386 | 49 | 8458 | 16 | 0.32 (0.18 to 0.57) | <0.0001 | 251 | |
Male | 4658 | 37 | 4660 | 17 | 0.46 (0.26 to 0.82) | 0.0088 | 247 | |
Female | 5313 | 30 | 5305 | 12 | 0.40 (0.20 to 0.82) | 0.0120 | 298 | |
Type of disease in index patient: | ||||||||
Multibacillary | 2846 | 21 | 2626 | 10 | 0.52 (0.22 to 1.19) | 0.1201 | 283 | |
Paucibacillary with 2-5 lesions | 3133 | 22 | 3408 | 9 | 0.38 (0.16 to 0.87) | 0.0218 | 230 | |
Single lesion paucibacillary | 3992 | 24 | 3931 | 10 | 0.42 (0.20 to 0.89) | 0.0233 | 291 | |
BCG scar absent | 5878 | 52 | 5917 | 22 | 0.42 (0.26 to 0.69) | 0.0007 | 197 | |
BCG scar present | 4023 | 15 | 3962 | 7 | 0.47 (0.18 to 1.26) | 0.1342 | 513 | |
Physical distance: | ||||||||
Shares house and kitchen | 912 | 13 | 924 | 6 | 0.46 (0.15 to 1.38) | 0.1652 | 132 | |
Shares kitchen only | 730 | 5 | 705 | 7 | 1.45 (0.38 to 5.52) | 0.5863 | NA | |
Shares house plus is next door neighbour | 2770 | 17 | 2544 | 8 | 0.51 (0.22 to 1.19) | 0.1208 | 337 | |
Neighbour of neighbour plus social contact | 5559 | 32 | 5792 | 8 | 0.24 (0.11 to 0.52) | 0.0003 | 230 | |
Negative ELISA result¶ | 8054 | 52 | 8115 | 22 | 0.42 (0.25 to 0.70) | 0.0009 | 269 | |
Positive ELISA result** | 511 | 4 | 492 | 2 | 0.52 (0.08 to 3.25) | 0.4834 | 269 |
ELISA=enzyme linked immunosorbent assay.
*Odds ratio for leprosy in rifampicin group versus placebo group.
†Number needed to treat to prevent one case of leprosy.
‡Parent, child, or sibling.
§Other than parent, child, or sibling.
¶Optical density <0.2.
**Optical density ≥0.2.