Table 1.
Intervention | Scenario(Compliance %/Ascertainment %) |
||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Base case |
2 30/60 |
3 60/60 |
4 60/80 |
5 90/60 |
6 90/80 |
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Achieved | Compliance | Achieved | Compliance | Achieved | Compliance | Achieved | Compliance | Achieved | Compliance | ||
Symptomatic cases ascertained | 60 | 60 | 80 | 60 | 80 | ||||||
In ascertained case household | |||||||||||
Threshold | – | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.01 | 0.1 | 0.01 | |||||
Index case treated | – | 100 | * | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||||
Contacts prophylaxed (TAP) | – | 100 | * | 100 | * | 100 | * | 100 | * | 100 | * |
Home isolation of cases | † | 60 | 60 | 60 | 90 | 90 | |||||
Quarantine of contacts | – | 30 | 60 | 60 | 90 | 90 | |||||
School closure | – | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
Threshold | – | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.01 | 0.1 | 0.01 | |||||
Children kept home‡ | – | 30 | 60 | 60 | 90 | 90 | |||||
Workplace distancing | – | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |||||
Threshold | – | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.01 | 0.1 | 0.01 | |||||
Liberal leave | † | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
Community social distancing | – | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |||||
Threshold | – | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.01 | 0.1 | 0.01 |
All numerical values are percentages.
*UW/LANL model assumes 5% stop taking drug after 1 day.
†In all three models, a proportion of symptomatic people retire to home even without intervention.
‡Compliance is % reduction in contacts or contact probabilities outside home.