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. 2008 Mar 10;105(12):4639–4644. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0706849105

Table 1.

The combined scenarios of targeted layered containment

Intervention Scenario(Compliance %/Ascertainment %)
1
Base case
2
30/60
3
60/60
4
60/80
5
90/60
6
90/80
Achieved Compliance Achieved Compliance Achieved Compliance Achieved Compliance Achieved Compliance
Symptomatic cases ascertained 60 60 80 60 80
In ascertained case household
    Threshold 1.0 0.1 0.01 0.1 0.01
    Index case treated 100 * 100 100 100 100
    Contacts prophylaxed (TAP) 100 * 100 * 100 * 100 * 100 *
    Home isolation of cases 60 60 60 90 90
    Quarantine of contacts 30 60 60 90 90
School closure 100 100 100 100 100
    Threshold 1.0 0.1 0.01 0.1 0.01
    Children kept home 30 60 60 90 90
Workplace distancing 50 50 50 50 50
    Threshold 1.0 0.1 0.01 0.1 0.01
    Liberal leave 100 100 100 100 100
Community social distancing 50 50 50 50 50
    Threshold 1.0 0.1 0.01 0.1 0.01

All numerical values are percentages.

*UW/LANL model assumes 5% stop taking drug after 1 day.

In all three models, a proportion of symptomatic people retire to home even without intervention.

Compliance is % reduction in contacts or contact probabilities outside home.