TABLE 2—
Parameter Estimates and Elasticities for the Independent Effect of Cumulative Per Capita State Tobacco Control Program Expenditures and Cigarette Prices on Adult Smoking Prevalence, by Age Groupa and Annual Percentage Discount Rate for Tobacco Control Expenditures: United States, Current Population Survey, 1985–2003
10% Discount | 25% Discount | 50% Discount | ||||
b (P ) | Elasticity | b (P ) | Elasticity | b (P ) | Elasticity | |
Overall population | ||||||
Cumulative per capita expenditures | −0.040 (<.01) | −0.017 | −0.048 (<.01) | −0.014 | −0.052 (<.01) | −0.010 |
Real cigarette price | −0.025 (.05) | −0.059 | −0.033 (.01) | −0.076 | −0.042 (.01) | −0.097 |
Aged 18–24 years | ||||||
Cumulative per capita expenditures | −0.035 (.04) | −0.014 | −0.031 (.21) | −0.009 | −0.016 (.66) | −0.003 |
Real cigarette price | −0.123 (<.01) | −0.270 | −0.136 (<.01) | −0.297 | −0.147 (<.01) | −0.322 |
Aged 25–39 years | ||||||
Cumulative per capita expenditures | −0.049 (<.01) | −0.019 | −0.053 (<.01) | −0.015 | −0.050 (<.01) | −0.09 |
Real cigarette price | 0.030 (.20) | 0.065 | 0.017 (.431) | 0.050 | 0.006 (.78) | 0.013 |
Aged ≥40 years | ||||||
Cumulative per capita expenditures | −0.038 (<.01) | −0.017 | −0.050 (<.01) | −0.016 | −0.063 (<.01) | −0.013 |
Real cigarette price | −0.035 (.04) | −0.083 | −0.039 (.02) | −0.094 | −0.046 (.01) | −0.111 |
Note. Parameter estimates were controlled for the effects of age, age squared, gender, race/ethnicity, marital status, education level, employment status, income level, missing demographic values, interview mode (in person vs telephone), youth-oriented tobacco control program, the interaction between youth-oriented antitobacco program and funding, state of residence, and year of survey participation. For explanation of percentage discount and elasticity, see “Methods” section.
aFor each age group, the number of people responding to the survey who provided complete information on all of the variables used in the analysis was as follows: overall population = 1 210 280; 18 to 24 years = 112 906; 25 to 39 years = 373 556; 40 and older = 723 818.