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. 2003 Mar 18;88(6):843–847. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6600759

Table 2. Studies performed to validate the ReHiT prediction rule for nonseminomatous testicular cancer.

  Hospitals/groups Years n Prognosis Percentage benign masses Calibration Discrimination Clinical relevance
Development Six study groups from 1979–92 544 Good/int/poor 45 OK AUC=0.83 142/544 (26%) cons nec
  Europe and US             116/142 (82%) correct
Validation 1 Five study groups 1980–96 172 Good/int/poor 45 OK AUC=0.82 52/172 (30%) cons nec
  from Europe             38/52 (73%) correct
Validation 2a Indiana University 1985–99 276 Good/int/poor 28 Recalibration necessary AUC=0.79 24/276 (9%) cons nec
                17/24 (71%) correct
Validation 3 EORTC/MRC trial 1995–98 105 Good 26 OK for predictions >5% AUC=0.76 4/105 (4%) cons
(present study)               3/4 (75%) correct

Calibration=agreement between predicted probabilities and observed frequencies, Discrimination=ability to distinguish a benign mass from tumour, AUC=area under the curve, cons nec=masses considered as benign (predicted probability >70%), correct=masses correctly considered as benign (predicted probability >70% and histology benign).

a

Modified prediction rule.