Table 2. Studies performed to validate the ReHiT prediction rule for nonseminomatous testicular cancer.
Hospitals/groups | Years | n | Prognosis | Percentage benign masses | Calibration | Discrimination | Clinical relevance | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Development | Six study groups from | 1979–92 | 544 | Good/int/poor | 45 | OK | AUC=0.83 | 142/544 (26%) cons nec |
Europe and US | 116/142 (82%) correct | |||||||
Validation 1 | Five study groups | 1980–96 | 172 | Good/int/poor | 45 | OK | AUC=0.82 | 52/172 (30%) cons nec |
from Europe | 38/52 (73%) correct | |||||||
Validation 2a | Indiana University | 1985–99 | 276 | Good/int/poor | 28 | Recalibration necessary | AUC=0.79 | 24/276 (9%) cons nec |
17/24 (71%) correct | ||||||||
Validation 3 | EORTC/MRC trial | 1995–98 | 105 | Good | 26 | OK for predictions >5% | AUC=0.76 | 4/105 (4%) cons |
(present study) | 3/4 (75%) correct |
Calibration=agreement between predicted probabilities and observed frequencies, Discrimination=ability to distinguish a benign mass from tumour, AUC=area under the curve, cons nec=masses considered as benign (predicted probability >70%), correct=masses correctly considered as benign (predicted probability >70% and histology benign).
Modified prediction rule.