Table 2. Summary of projected climate change effects on native ranges of European plants, as well as on modeled potential invasive ranges on other continents, as a function of 4 different models and scenarios of future (2055) climates.
Europe | Africa | Asia | Australia | North America | South America | |
Canadian CGCM1a2 | −2.445 (7.063) | −4.554 (21.236) | −0.377 (2.085) | −0.352 (8.272) | −0.365 (1.532) | 0.106 (4.372) |
Canadian CGCM1b2 | −2.676 (4.933) | −3.060 (18.403) | −0.534 (1.610) | −0.147 (6.752) | −0.499 (1.119) | −0.163 (4.141) |
Hadley HadCM3a2 | −3.096 (6.903) | −5.737 (24.329) | −0.676 (1.643) | −0.335 (8.604) | −0.420 (1.126) | 0.023 (4.315) |
Hadley HadCM3b2 | −2.611 (5.897) | −4.361 (21.549) | −0.627 (1.438) | −0.105 (6.761) | −0.250 (0.993) | 0.053 (4.202) |
Species projected to increase in potential distributional area | 651 | 1324 | 435 | 1504 | 406 | 1438 |
Numbers presented are average percent change relative to projected present potential distributional areas (standard deviations in parentheses). The final row presents numbers of species projected to increase in potential distributional area based on an average of all 4 future-climate scenarios, out of a possible 1804 species.