Table 3. Odds ratios and cumulative risks of lung cancer by age 75, by age at quitting smoking, among men, by country.
| Centres | Case/control | ORa | Standarda 95% CI | Floatingb 95% CI | Cumulative riskc (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UKd | |||||
| Nonsmoker | 3/400 | 1.0 | 0.3–3.1 | 0.2 (0.01–0.4) | |
| <30 years | 6/122 | 6.6 | 1.6–26.6 | 2.9–14.9 | 1.1 (0.3–1.9) |
| 40 years | 12/193 | 8.3 | 2.3–29.7 | 4.6–14.9 | 2.6 (1.3–3.9) |
| 50 years | 44/246 | 23.8 | 7.3–77.6 | 17.3–32.9 | 5.6 (4.1–7.0) |
| 60 years | 223/545 | 54.6 | 17.3–171.7 | 46.7–63.8 | 11.1 (9.4–12.8) |
| Current smoker | 322/453 | 94.8 | 30.2–297.8 | 82.2–109.3 | 15.7 (14.4–17.0) |
| Germany | |||||
| Nonsmoker | 63/763 | 1.0 | 0.8–1.3 | 0.6 (0.4–0.7) | |
| <30 years | 27/294 | 1.03 | 0.6–1.6 | 0.7–1.5 | 0.6 (0.3–0.8) |
| 40 years | 52/426 | 2.8 | 1.9–3.9 | 2.2–3.5 | 1.8 (1.4–2.1) |
| 50 years | 169/498 | 6.8 | 5.0–9.1 | 5.9–7.9 | 4.9 (4.4–5.4) |
| 60 years | 804/481 | 15.0 | 11.2–20.1 | 13.0–17.3 | 10.8 (10.0–11.6) |
| Current smoker | 2342/1039 | 27.3 | 20.9–35.6 | 25.4–29.4 | 14.3 (13.6–15.0) |
| Italy | |||||
| Nonsmoker | 18/277 | 1.0 | 0.6–1.6 | 0.6 (0.3–0.9) | |
| <30 years | 34/103 | 5.6 | 2.9–10.6 | 3.6–8.6 | 3.4 (2.0–4.9) |
| 40 years | 61/131 | 4.9 | 2.7–9.0 | 3.4–7.2 | 3.3 (2.1–4.4) |
| 50 years | 130/268 | 8.9 | 5.2–15.1 | 7.0–11.3 | 6.3 (5.1–7.5) |
| 60 years | 295/214 | 12.7 | 7.6–21.2 | 10.5–15.4 | 10.2 (9.1–11.2) |
| Current smoker | 833/539 | 23.7 | 14.6–38.7 | 21.3–26.5 | 13.8 (12.8–14.8) |
| Sweden | |||||
| Nonsmoker | 36/706 | 1.0 | 0.7–1.4 | 0.4 (0.2–0.5) | |
| <30 years | 4/71 | 1.1 | 0.4–3.2 | 0.4–3.0 | 0.4 (0.01–0.8) |
| 40 years | 14/158 | 1.7 | 0.9–3.3 | 1.0–3.0 | 0.8 (0.4–1.1) |
| 50 years | 46/215 | 4.2 | 2.6–6.6 | 3.1–5.8 | 2.1 (1.6–2.6) |
| 60 years | 199/369 | 7.2 | 4.7–10.9 | 5.7–9.3 | 4.2 (3.6–4.8) |
| Current smoker | 716/805 | 17.4 | 12.3–24.7 | 15.3–19.3 | 6.6 (6.2–7.0) |
Odds ratio and 95% confidence intervals calculated by logistic regression analyses, adjusted for age and centre.
95% confidence intervals are based on floating variance.
Cumulative risk expressed as percentage; 95% confidence intervals are based on floating variance.
See footnote to Table 2 concerning the anomalously high odds ratios for the UK study.