Table 1.
Quarter | (2) Mean earnings difference (B̂) | (3) Nonoverlapping support*(B̂1) [%] | (4) Different density weighting (B̂2) [%] | (5) Selection bias (B̂3) [%] | (6) Average bias (SP) | (7) Selection bias (SP) as a % of treatment impact† |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adult men, experimental controls, and comparison sample of eligible nonparticipants‡ | ||||||
t = 1 | −418 | 240 | −676 | 18 | 36 | 713 |
(38) | (29) [−57] | (35) [162] | (26) [−4] | |||
t = 2 | −349 | 294 | −658 | 15 | 30 | 83 |
(47) | (37) [−84] | (43) [188] | (31) [−4] | |||
t = 3 | −337 | 305 | −649 | 7 | 13 | 23 |
(55) | (38) [−90] | (44) [192] | (30) [−2] | |||
t = 4 | −286 | 323 | −644 | 35 | 69 | 117 |
(57) | (37) [−113] | (47) [225] | (32) [−12] | |||
t = 5 | −305 | 320 | −671 | 45 | 89 | 201 |
(57) | (39) [−105] | (52) [220] | (38) [−15] | |||
t = 6 | −328 | 303 | −655 | 24 | 47 | 78 |
(63) | (44) [−93] | (50) [200] | (42) [−7] | |||
Postprogram | −337 | 298 | −659 | 24 | 48 | 109 |
average | (47) | (35) [−88] | (42) [195] | (28) [−7] | ||
Adult women, experimental controls, and comparison sample of eligible nonparticipants§ | ||||||
t = 1 | −26 | 83 | −144 | 35 | 46 | 302 |
(24) | (11) [−316] | (18) [548] | (24) [−132] | |||
t = 2 | 29 | 100 | −120 | 49 | 64 | 261 |
(25) | (13) [344] | (20) [−411] | (28) [167] | |||
t = 3 | 38 | 105 | −120 | 54 | 70 | 151 |
(26) | (14) [272] | (22) [−312] | (30) [139] | |||
t = 4 | 55 | 108 | −107 | 54 | 70 | 206 |
(30) | (16) [195] | (23) [−193] | (29) [97] | |||
t = 5 | 62 | 117 | −102 | 47 | 62 | 212 |
(34) | (18) [188] | (25) [−164] | (33) [76] | |||
t = 6 | 40 | 122 | −114 | 33 | 44 | 158 |
(36) | (18) [301] | (24) [−283] | (29) [82] | |||
Postprogram | 33 | 106 | −118 | 45 | 59 | 202 |
average | (26) | (13) [318] | (20) [−355] | (26) [136] |
Bootstrapped standard errors are shown in parentheses; percentages of mean difference attributable to components are shown in square brackets. Quarterly earnings expressed in monthly dollars.
Two percent trimming rule used to determine overlapping support region (SP) following [12]. For adult males, proportion of controls in SP = 0.51. Proportion of eligible nonparticipants in SP = 0.97. For adult females, proportion of controls is 0.76 and proportion of nonparticipants is 0.96.
Ratio of absolute value of SP to absolute value of experimentally determined impact.
‡ Adult male sample contains 508 controls and 388 eligible nonparticipants.
Adult female sample contains 696 controls and 866 eligible nonparticipants.