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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2009 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Pediatr. 2007 Oct 22;152(2):185–190. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2007.08.007

Table V.

Predictive utility of candidate childhood metabolic syndrome classifications for adult metabolic syndrome.

# of Components Variable Set* Prevalence % Sensitivity % Specificity % PV (+) % PV (−) %
1 1 65 77.7 40.3 35 81.3
2 59.7 74.3 46.3 36.4 81.3
3 67.4 79.9 37.7 34.7 81.9
4 62.5 77.1 43.5 36.1 82.1
5 61.9 74.3 43.3 35.2 80.3
6 56 71 50.2 37.1 80.7
7 64.8 77.7 40.5 35.1 81.4
8 59.2 74.9 47.2 37 81.9
9 54.2 67 51.2 36.3 54.2
10 46.6 62.6 60 39.3 79.5
11 58.1 71 47.2 35.8 80
12 51.2 67.7 55.6 38.7 80.5
13 49.3 60.9 55.6 36.2 77.4
14 40.9 56.4 65.5 40.4 78.4
15 53.7 65.9 51.4 36 78.5
16 46 62.6 60.9 39.9 46
17 63.7 77.7 42.1 35.7 82
18 58.4 74.3 48.2 37.3 81.9
19 66.1 79.9 39.6 35.4 82.6
20 61.2 77.1 45.4 36.9 82.7
21 60.6 74.3 45.1 36 60.6
22 54.5 70.4 52.1 37.8 54.5
23 63.5 77.7 42.4 35.8 82.1
24 57.8 74.3 49.1 37.7 82.2
25 52.4 66.5 53.5 37.2 79.4
26 44.4 61.5 62.7 40.6 79.7
27 56.3 70.4 49.5 36.6 80.2
28 48.9 66.5 58.3 39.8 80.8
29 47.5 60.3 57.9 37.2 77.9
30 38.5 54.8 68.3 41.7 78.5
31 51.9 65.4 53.7 36.9 78.9
32 43.5 60.9 63.7 41 79.7
2 1 32.7 50.3 74.5 45 78.4
2 27.5 46.4 80.3 49.4 78.3
3 36.2 54.8 71.5 44.3 79.2
4 31.3 50.8 76.9 47.6 79.1
5 30.3 47.5 76.9 46 77.9
6 24.7 42.5 82.6 50.3 77.6
7 33.2 50.8 74.1 44.8 78.4
8 28.2 45.8 79.2 47.7 77.9
9 23.7 39.1 82.6 48.3 76.6
10 19.5 33.5 86.3 50.4 75.8
11 27 44.7 80.3 48.5 77.8
12 22.6 38.6 84 50 76.7
13 22.3 38 84.3 50 76.6
14 17.5 30.7 88 51.4 75.4
15 25 42.5 82.2 49.7 77.5
16 20.3 34.6 85.7 50 76
17 31.3 48 75.7 45 77.9
18 25.4 43 81.9 49.7 77.6
19 34.9 53.1 72.7 44.6 78.9
20 29.3 48 78.5 48 78.5
21 28.5 44.1 78 45.4 77.1
22 39.1 84.3 50.7 77 22.6
23 31.6 48 75.2 44.6 77.8
24 26.2 43 80.8 48.1 77.4
25 22.1 36.9 84 48.9 76.3
26 18 31.3 87.5 50.9 75.5
27 25.5 43 81.7 49.4 77.6
28 21.3 36.9 85.2 50.8 76.5
29 20.1 34.1 85.7 49.6 75.8
30 15.9 27.9 89.1 51.6 74.9
31 23.1 39.1 83.6 49.7 76.8
32 18.8 32.4 86.8 50.4 75.6
3 1 16 30.7 90.1 56.1 75.8
2 13.1 25.7 92.1 57.5 75
3 18 34.6 88.9 56.4 76.7
4 14.9 29.6 91.2 58.2 75.8
5 12.9 25.1 92.1 57 74.8
6 10.1 20.1 94 58.1 74
7 15.1 29.1 90.7 56.5 75.5
8 11.9 24.6 93.3 60.3 74.9
9 10.5 20.7 93.8 57.8 74
10 7.7 16.8 96.1 63.8 73.6
11 12.1 25.1 93.3 60.8 75.1
12 9.2 20.7 95.6 66.1 74.4
13 7.4 14.5 95.6 57.8 73
14 5.6 11.7 97 61.8 72.6
15 9.3 19.6 94.9 61.4 74
16 7.2 16.8 96.8 68.2 73.7
17 14.9 28.5 90.7 56 75.4
18 12.4 24.6 92.6 57.9 74.8
19 16.7 31.8 89.6 55.9 76
20 14.1 27.9 91.7 58.1 75.4
21 11.9 23.5 92.8 57.5 74.5
22 9.5 1 94.4 58.6 73.8
23 13.9 26.8 91.4 56.5 75.1
24 11.1 22.9 93.8 60.3 74.6
25 9.3 17.9 94.2 56.1 73.5
26 6.7 14 96.3 61 73
27 11 22.4 93.8 59.7 74.5
28 8.2 17.9 95.8 64 73.8
29 6.5 13.4 96.3 60 72.9
30 4.7 10.1 97.5 62.1 72.3
31 8.5 18.4 95.6 63.5 73.9
32 6.4 15.1 97.2 69.2 73.4
4 1 5.7 11.7 96.8 60 72.3
2 3.9 8.9 98.2 66.7 72.2
3 7.2 15.6 96.3 63.6 73.4
4 5.1 12.9 98.2 74.2 73.1
5 4.6 9.5 97.5 60.7 72.2
6 3.6 7.8 98.2 63.6 72
7 6.2 14.5 97.2 68.4 73.3
8 4.7 11.7 98.2 72.4 72.9
9 2.9 6.2 98.4 61.1 71.7
10 2 4.5 99.1 66.7 71.5
11 3.8 7.8 97.9 60.9 71.9
12 2.6 6.7 99.1 75 71.9
13 2.5 5.6 98.8 66.7 71.6
14 1.8 4.5 99.3 72.7 71.5
15 3.1 7.3 98.6 68.4 72
16 2.1 5.6 99.3 76.9 71.7
17 4.6 9.5 97.5 60.7 72.2
18 2.8 6.2 98.6 64.7 71.7
19 6.2 14 97 65.8 73.1
20 4.1 10.6 98.6 76 72.7
21 3.4 7.8 98.4 66.7 72
22 2.5 5.6 98.8 66.7 71.6
23 5.2 13.4 98.2 75 73.2
24 3.8 10.1 98.8 78.3 72.6
25 2.1 4.5 98.8 61.5 71.4
26 1.3 3.4 99.5 75 71.3
27 2.8 5.6 98.4 58.8 71.6
28 1.8 5 99.5 81.8 71.7
29 1.8 3.9 99.1 63.6 71.3
30 1.3 3.4 99.5 75 71.3
31 2.3 5 98.8 64.3 71.5
32 1.5 3.9 99.5 77.8 71.4
5 1 1.6 3.9 99.3 70 71.4
2 1.3 3.4 99.5 75 71.3
3 2.1 5.6 99.3 76.9 71.4
4 1.6 4.5 99.5 80 71.6
5 1.5 3.9 99.5 77.8 71.4
6 1.1 3.4 99.8 85.7 71.4
7 1.6 4.5 99.5 80 71.6
8 1.3 3.9 99.8 87.5 71.5
9 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
10 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
11 0.5 1.7 100 100 71
12 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
13 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
14 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
15 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
16 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
17 1.3 3.4 99.5 75 71.3
18 1.1 3.4 99.8 85.7 71.4
19 1.6 4.5 99.5 80 71.6
20 1.3 3.9 99.8 87.5 71.5
21 1.3 3.4 99.5 75 71.3
22 1.1 3.4 99.8 85.7 71.4
23 1.3 3.4 99.5 75 71.3
24 1.1 3.4 99.8 85.7 71.4
25 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
26 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
27 0.5 1.7 100 100 71.1
28 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
29 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
30 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
31 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
32 0.3 1.1 100 100 70.9
*

Note. Cut-points used for each set of variables are as follows:

1 BMI 85, FG 90, TG 90, HDL 40, SBP 75 or DBP 75

2 BMI 85, FG 90, TG 90, HDL 40, SBP 90 or DBP 90

3 BMI 85, FG 90, TG 90, HDL 45, SBP 75 or DBP 75

4 BMI 85, FG 90, TG 90, HDL 45, SBP 90 or DBP 90

5 BMI 85, FG 90, TG 110, HDL 40, SBP 75 or DBP 75

6 BMI 85, FG 90, TG 110, HDL 40, SBP 90 or DBP 90

7 BMI 85, FG 90, TG 110, HDL 45, SBP 75 or DBP 75

8 BMI 85, FG 90, TG 110, HDL 45, SBP 90 or DBP 90

9 BMI 85, FG 100, TG 90, HDL 40, SBP 75 or DBP 75

10 BMI 85, FG 100, TG 90, HDL 40, SBP 90 or DBP 90

11 BMI 85, FG 100, TG 90, HDL 45, SBP 75 or DBP 75

12 BMI 85, FG 100, TG 90, HDL 45, SBP 90 or DBP 90

13 BMI 85, FG 100, TG 110, HDL 40, SBP 75 or DBP 75

14 BMI 85, FG 100, TG 110, HDL 40, SBP 90 or DBP 90

15 BMI 85, FG 100, TG 110, HDL 45, SBP 75 or DBP 75

16 BMI 85, FG 100, TG 110, HDL 45, SBP 90 or DBP 90

17 BMI 90, FG 90, TG 90, HDL 40, SBP 75 or DBP 75

18 BMI 90, FG 90, TG 90, HDL 40, SBP 90 or DBP 90

19 BMI 90, FG 90, TG 90, HDL 45, SBP 75 or DBP 75

20 BMI 90, FG 90, TG 90, HDL 45, SBP 90 or DBP 90

21 BMI 90, FG 90, TG 110, HDL 40, SBP 75 or DBP 75

22 BMI 90, FG 90, TG 110, HDL 40, SBP 90 or DBP 90

23 BMI 90, FG 90, TG 110, HDL 45, SBP 75 or DBP 75

24 BMI 90, FG 90, TG 110, HDL 45, SBP 90 or DBP 90

25 BMI 90, FG 100, TG 90, HDL 40, SBP 75 or DBP 75

26 BMI 90, FG 100, TG 90, HDL 40, SBP 90 or DBP 90

27 BMI 90, FG 100, TG 90, HDL 45, SBP 75 or DBP 75

28 BMI 90, FG 100, TG 90, HDL 45, SBP 90 or DBP 90

29 BMI 90, FG 100, TG 110, HDL 40, SBP 75 or DBP 75

30 BMI 90, FG 100, TG 110, HDL 40, SBP 90 or DBP 90

31 BMI 90, FG 100, TG 110, HDL 45, SBP 75 or DBP 75

32 BMI 90, FG 100, TG 110, HDL 45, SBP 90 or DBP 90

BMI, SBP, and DBP are expressed in percentile. FG, TG, and HDL are expressed in mg/dL.