Table 2.
Results of Main Analysis
| Prison Rape Scenario | % of Victims | P(HIV|R)a | P(HIV)b | HIV Infectionsc |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single incident, single perpetrator | 16.7 | 0.04% (1 in 2381) | 0.0004% (1 in 238,095) | 1.0 |
| Single incident, multiple perpetrators | 16.7 | 0.21% (1 in 477) | 0.0021% (1 in 47,659) | 4.9 |
| Multiple incidents, single perpetrator | 33.3 | 0.31% (1 in 319) | 0.0031% (1 in 31,908) | 14.6 |
| Multiple incidents, multiple perpetrators | 33.3 | 1.02% (1 in 98) | 0.0102% (1 in 9,814) | 47.6 |
| Low-risk estimate | 0.48% (1 in 208) | 0.0048% (1 in 20,800) | 22.4 | |
| High-risk estimate | 1.56% (1 in 64) | 0.0156% (1 in 6,422) | 72.7 | |
| Overall | 100 | 0.49% (1 in 206) | 0.0049% (1 in 20,572) | 68.1 |
Probability of HIV acquisition if raped in prison.
Probability of acquiring HIV after being raped in prison.
Estimated number of men incarcerated in U.S. prisons who have or will acquire HIV as a consequence of prison rape.