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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2008 Jun 26.
Published in final edited form as: Prison J. 2007;87(3):295–310. doi: 10.1177/0032885507304525

Table 2.

Results of Main Analysis

Prison Rape Scenario % of Victims P(HIV|R)a P(HIV)b HIV Infectionsc
Single incident, single perpetrator  16.7 0.04% (1 in 2381) 0.0004% (1 in 238,095) 1.0
Single incident, multiple perpetrators  16.7 0.21% (1 in 477) 0.0021% (1 in 47,659) 4.9
Multiple incidents, single perpetrator  33.3 0.31% (1 in 319) 0.0031% (1 in 31,908) 14.6
Multiple incidents, multiple perpetrators  33.3 1.02% (1 in 98) 0.0102% (1 in 9,814) 47.6
 Low-risk estimate 0.48% (1 in 208) 0.0048% (1 in 20,800) 22.4
 High-risk estimate 1.56% (1 in 64) 0.0156% (1 in 6,422) 72.7
Overall 100 0.49% (1 in 206) 0.0049% (1 in 20,572) 68.1
a

Probability of HIV acquisition if raped in prison.

b

Probability of acquiring HIV after being raped in prison.

c

Estimated number of men incarcerated in U.S. prisons who have or will acquire HIV as a consequence of prison rape.