Table 5. Model signatures for an increase in each factor under each experiment.

Factor	Change in Number of Dead	Change in DOE	Change in PMD	Change in Prevalence
Experiment 1
Contact rate	+ve	−ve	−ve	+ve
Length of infectious period	NS	+ve	+ve	NS
Case mortality	+ve	NS	+ve	NS
Experiment 2
Trip duration	−ve	+ve	NS	−ve
Day of introduction	NS	+ve	+ve	NS
Population size	+ve	+ve	NS	NS
Experiment 3
Trip duration	−ve	+ve	+ve	−ve
Day of Introduction	NS	NS	−ve	NS
Population size	+ve	NS	NS	NS
Experiment 4
Trip duration	−ve	+ve	NS	−ve
Day of introduction	+ve	+ve	+ve	+ve
Population size	+ve	+ve	NS	+ve

+ve = positive change, −ve = negative change, NS = no significant change.