Table 1. Setting-specific model inputs (for calendar year: 2007) and cost predictions on rolling out medicalised adult male circumcision using the public cost model.
Setting | Model input data | Model predictions | ||||
Population aged 15 to 49 years (millions) | Prevalence of MC before MAMC intervention (percent) | Uncircumcised adults in millions (% of total) | Adult prevalence of HIV (percent) | Number of circumcisers in the first 5 years* | Funding required for MAMC programming (million US$), total for first 10 years | |
Botswana | 0.91 | 25 | 0.34 (1.1%) | 37.3 | 25 (18 to 37) | 25 (17 to 36) |
Burundi | 3.41 | 2 | 1.67 (5.5%) | 6.0 | 146 (107 to 209) | 47 (32 to 64) |
CAR** | 1.81 | 67 | 0.3 (1%) | 13.5 | 16 (9 to 25) | 5 (3 to 8) |
Kenya**** | 2.15 | 10 | 0.97 (3.2%) | 24.0 | 82 (59 to 117) | 30 (21 to 41) |
Lesotho | 0.86 | 0 | 0.43 (1.4%) | 28.9 | 35 (26 to 51) | 13 (9 to 17) |
Liberia | 1.62 | 70 | 0.24 (0.8%) | 5.9 | 12 (7 to 19) | 4 (2 to 6) |
Malawi | 5.45 | 17 | 2.26 (7.4%) | 14.2 | 190 (142 to 285) | 63 (42 to 84) |
Mozambique | 9.02 | 56 | 1.98 (6.5%) | 12.2 | 130 (90 to 196) | 45 (29 to 61) |
Namibia | 0.94 | 15 | 0.4 (1.3%) | 21.3 | 31 (22 to 45) | 19 (14 to 27) |
Rwanda | 3.98 | 10 | 1.79 (5.9%) | 5.1 | 152 (114 to 225) | 51 (36 to 68) |
South Africa | 24.47 | 35 | 7.95 (26.1%) | 24.6 | 549 (401 to 796) | 451 (313 to 649) |
Swaziland | 0.51 | 50 | 0.13 (0.4%) | 38.8 | 8 (6 to 12) | 5 (3 to 7) |
Tanzania | 18.09 | 70 | 2.71 (8.9%) | 8.8 | 133 (74 to 220) | 45 (24 to 70) |
Uganda | 11.64 | 25 | 4.37 (14.3%) | 4.1 | 364 (266 to 528) | 127 (87 to 169) |
Zambia | 4.89 | 12 | 2.15 (7.1%) | 16.5 | 182 (134 to 264) | 69 (49 to 93) |
Zimbabwe | 6.26 | 10 | 2.82 (9.2%) | 24.6 | 227 (168 to 326) | 78 (56 to 105) |
Total | 96.01 | - | 30.52 (100%) | - | 2 282 (2 018 to 2 959) | 1 077 (855 to 1 448) |
Average | - | 36 | - | 15.6 | - | - |
Assuming scale-up to maximum acceptable coverage over an initial period of 5 years (see text).
Central African Republic.
Province of Nyanza.