Table 4.

Area under the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve at ten years for predictive models that included retinal vascular calibers, the Framingham variables and the Framingham variables plus the retinal vascular sign, women without diabetes mellitus

	Area under ROC curve at 10 years
	Retinal vascular caliber *	Framingham variables*	Framingham plus retinal caliber*	Incremental (%)change in area under ROC curve
Arteriolar and venular calibers	0.600	0.695	0.706	0.012 (1.7)

^*centre and race are also included in each of the prediction models