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. 2008 Sep 8;105(37):14052–14057. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0805902105

Table 3.

Relation of change Aβ peptide levels to incidence of AD

Change in Aβ levels No. at risk AD, n (%) Odds ratio,model A Odds ratio,model B
Change as a continuous variable
    Change in Aβ 40 1123 104 (9.3) 1.003 (0.99–1.01) 1.002 (0.99–1.01)
    Change in Aβ 42 1125 104 (9.2) 0.98 (0.97–0.99)* 0.98 (0.97–0.99)*
    Change in Aβ 42/Aβ 40 ratio 1123 104 (9.3) 0.77 (0.55–1.08) 0.7 (0.47–1.01)
Change in Aβ 40 by group
    Increasing 626 59 (9.4) 1.0 (reference) 1.0 (reference)
    No change 434 41 (9.4) 0.9 (0.6–1.4) 0.7 (0.4–1.3)
    Decreasing 58 4 (6.9) 0.6 (0.2–1.7) 0.5 (0.2–1.7)
Change in Aβ 42 by group
    Increasing 493 39 (7.9) 1.0 (reference) 1.0 (reference)
    No change 502 41 (8.2) 1.1 (0.7–1.8) 1.5 (0.7–2.0)
    Decreasing 130 24 (17.6) 2.8 (1.6–5.1)*** 2.6 (1.3–5.1)**
Change in Aβ 42/Aβ 40 ratio by group
    Increasing 93 3 (2.9) 1.0 (reference) 1.0 (reference)
    No change 692 65 (9.4) 3.1 (1.0–10.1) 3.2 (0.9–11)
    Decreasing 333 36 (10.8) 3.6 (1.1–12.1)* 3.4 (1.0–11.8)*

*, P < 0.05;

**, P < 0.01;

***, P < 0.001.

Logistic regression model, with Aβ 42 and Aβ 40 in the model, unadjusted.

Logistic regression model, adjusted for age at baseline, cohort membership, sex, ethnicity, education, BMI, and the presence of the APOE ε 4 allele.