Figure 3.

Predicted baseline screening mammography primary performance measure: recall rate (RR). The RR percentage is recalls per 100 (not 1000) screening mammograms for women ages 35–65. Women both with and without cancer are recalled for further diagnostic imaging of abnormalities seen on the initial positive screening mammogram. The 10^th/90^th (high error bars) and 90^th/10^th (low error bars) percentile of radiologist performance for specificity/sensitivity generates the range around the RR predictions. Specificity is the fraction of negative mammograms in women who remain healthy over one year of follow-up. SIFE are short interval follow-up mammogram examinations without additional diagnostic imaging.