Table 3.
Model Input* | Equation | R2 |
Incidence | y = 0.165*AGE - 5.37 | 0.996 |
Prevalence | y = 0.016*AGE2 - 0.90*AGE + 12.54 | 0.998 |
Model Output | ||
Cancer detection rate 1 year | y = 0.013*AGE2 - 0.70*AGE + 8.26 | 0.996 |
Recall rate | y = 0.054*AGE + 12.08 | 0.957 |
PPV†, screening | y = 0.007*AGE2 - 0.31*AGE + 2.18 | 0.995 |
NPV‡, screening | y = -0.007*AGE + 100.2 | 0.814 |
PPV†, diagnostic | y = 0.011*AGE2 - 0.30*AGE - 2.51 | 0.994 |
Total intervention rate | y = 0.013*AGE2 - 0.67*AGE + 39.98 | 0.996 |
Positive biopsy fraction | y = 0.01*AGE2 + 0.29*AGE - 21.85 | 0.992 |
* Values from Table 1.
† PPV = Positive predictive value.
‡ NPV = Negative predictive value.