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. 2006 Apr;60(4):322–327. doi: 10.1136/jech.2005.038638

Table 2 Deaths prevented or postponed as a result of population risk factor changes in Ireland.

Risk factors Relative changes in risk factor* β regression coefficients Deaths prevented or postponed
(%) (%) (number) (%)
Positive trends
 Smoking −14.2† 0.51 964 25.6
 Cholesterol −4.6‡ 2.46 1135 30.2
 Population BP −7.2§ 1.67 228 6.1
Subtotals +2327 +61.9
Adverse trends
Relative risk
 Physical inactivity +4.8¶ 0.50 −154 −4.1
 Obesity +195.1** 1.57 −131 −3.5
 Diabetes +48.0†† 4.24 −232 −6.2
Subtotals −517 −13.8
Total risk factor effects in 2000 1810/3763‡‡ +48.1

*Ratio of the absolute difference between 1985 and 2000 to the baseline year (1985), and then weighted to age and sex specific populations. †Smoking prevalence: 1985 (33.6%) and 2000 (28.8%). ‡Total mean cholesterol levels: 1985 (6.02 mmol/l) and 2000 (5.73 mmol/l). §Mean diastolic blood pressure levels: 1985 (81 mm Hg) and 2000 (75 mm Hg). ¶No Irish data available, so based on the UK prevalence data. **Obesity prevalence: 1985 (8%) and 2000 (24%). ††Diabetes prevalence: 1985 (1.7%) and 2000 (2.5%). ‡‡3763 is total observed CHD deaths in 2000, and 1810 is the sum of +2327 and −517 deaths.