Table 3.
Risk factors for 30-day hospital readmission in the derivation cohort according to HRDES comorbidity variables
| Derivation cohort (N = 19,528) | ||
| Characteristics | Relative risk (95% CI) | Risk difference (95% CI) |
| Demographic characteristics | ||
| Age group, y | ||
| 65–69 | 1.00 | 0.000 |
| 70–74 | 1.11 (1.00, 1.26) | .010 (–.001, .021) |
| 75–79 | 1.30 (1.15, 1.46) | .027 (.015, .039) |
| 80–84 | 1.22 (1.08, 1.39) | .023 (.010, .036) |
| 85+ | 1.28 (1.13, 1.47) | .033 (.018, .048) |
| Male | 1.13 (1.05, 1.23) | .008 (–.000, .016) |
| African American | 1.18 (1.06, 1.32) | .013 (–.003, .028) |
| Health system variables | ||
| Long-term care | 2.05 (1.87, 2.26) | .105 (.088, .121) |
| Medicare and Medicaid | 0.83 (0.73, 0.95) | –.009 (–.023, .005) |
| Non-Medicare | 0.70 (0.58, 0.84) | –.024 (–.038, –.010) |
| Surgery service | 0.80 (0.73, 0.89) | –.018 (–.027, –.009) |
| Comorbidity variables∗ | ||
| Severe peripheral vascular disease | 1.77 (1.42, 2.21) | .091 (.036, .145) |
| Lymphoma/leukemia | 1.76 (1.39, 2.25) | .093 (.049, .138) |
| Cirrhosis/end-stage liver disease | 1.52 (1.17, 1.97) | .072 (.021, .123) |
| Renal failure (chronic) | 1.50 (1.22, 1.85) | .079 (.040, .119) |
| Major stroke (hemiplegia) | 1.42 (1.19, 1.68) | .052 (.020, .084) |
| Cancer (metastatic) | 1.41 (1.17, 1.71) | .046 (.019, .073) |
| Malnutrition/weight loss | 1.40 (1.20, 1.63) | .074 (.040, .108) |
| Respiratory failure | 1.37 (1.18, 1.58) | .047 (.015, .078) |
| Congestive heart failure | 1.34 (1.23, 1.46) | .038 (.026, .051) |
| Renal failure (acute) | 1.25 (1.08, 1.45) | .053 (.024, .082) |
| Cancer (solid tumor, localized) | 1.22 (1.05, 1.41) | .026 (.010, .043) |
| COPD/chronic lung disease | 1.11 (1.00, 1.22) | .017 (.004, .029) |
| Dementia | 0.81 (0.69, 0.97) | –.016 (–.036, .004) |
| Constant | – | .070 (.051, .090) |
∗Comorbidity variables reported in descending order by relative risk.
HRDES indicates High-Risk Diagnoses in the Elderly Scale; CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.