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. 2006 Jun;82(Suppl 3):iii71–iii77. doi: 10.1136/sti.2006.021097

Table 2 Ranges for key inputs in spectrum.

Input Mean Range
Median time in years from infection to AIDS death for males 8.6 7.4–9.8
Median time in years from infection to AIDS death for females 9.4 8.2–10.6
Cumulative mortality in HIV+ children
 2 years 0.48 0.30–0.55
 5 years 0.60 0.41–0.55
 10 years 0.82 0.62–1.00
 15 years 1.00 0.74–1.00
Ratio of prevalence for 15–19 to 25–29 for males 0.19 0.05–0.31
Ratio of prevalence for 20–24 to 25–29 for males 0.30 0.05–0.62
Ratio of prevalence for 15–19 to 25–29 for females 0.22 0.01–0.36
Ratio of prevalence for 20–24 to 25–29 for females 0.63 0.53–0.72
Mean Standard deviation
Mother to child transmission rate with no prophylaxis 0.35 0.05
Mother to child transmission rate with prophylaxis 0.28 0.05
Ratio of fertility of HIV+ to HIV− women aged 15–19 1.5 0.20
Ratio of fertility of HIV+ to HIV− women aged 20–49 0.70 0.10
Percent of adults on ART surviving to the next year 0.90 0.05
Percent of children on cotrimoxazole surviving to the next year 0.91 0.05
Percent of children on antiretroviral treatment surviving to the next year 0.90 0.05