Table 3.
Odds ratios for presence of different chromosomal forms estimated from the geo-statistical Bayesian multiple multinomial regression model.
| Parameters | Savanna | Bamako | Hybrids/Recombinants |
| Posterior median (95%CI) | Posterior median (95%CI) | Posterior median (95%CI) | |
| Rainfall | 0.95 (0.83–1.08) | 1.09 (0.99–1.20) | 1.22 (1.03–1.46) |
| Max temperature | 0.74 (0.47–1.07) | 6.09 (4.29–7.99) | 2.32(1.34–3.97) |
| Min temperature | 0.41(0.22–0.99) | 0.07 (0.04–0.14) | 0.28 (0.14–0.58) |
| NDVI | 1.46 (1.30–1.65) | 1.04 (0.96–1.13) | 1.03 (0.88–1.19) |
| SWS | 2.02 (1.42–2.84) | 5.98 (4.45–8.04) | 3.25 (1.99–5.32) |
| Distance to water bodies | |||
| < 4 km | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| 4 to 10 km | 0.20 (0.05–0.89) | 1.52 (0.40–7.01) | 0.42 (0.17–0.89) |
| >10 to 20 km | 0.94 (0.15–7.88) | 1.64 (0.14–14.05) | 0.18 (0.04–0.74) |
| > 20 km | 0.69 (0.09–4.49) | 3.66(0.22–56.66) | 0.31 (0.07–1.33) |
| Suitability to transmission | |||
| Suitable | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Not suitable | 4.72(3.43–6.63) | 24.76 (16.03–37.77) | 3.53 (2.34–5.65) |
| Agro-ecological zones (AEZ) | |||
| South savanna | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| North savanna | 0.29 (0.07–2.00) | 2.92 (0.31–29.56) | 0.24 (0.06–0.82) |
| Sahel | 0.01 (0.00–0.79) | 0.00 (0.00–13.85) | 0.05 (0.00–0.92) |
| Spatial parameters | |||
| 3/ρ ** (km) | 428.2 (101.2–1755.2) | 1113.4 (327.0–2135.6) | 953.2 (318.1–2090.0) |
| σ2 | 9.95 (4.45–37.00) | 24.95 (8.29–67.78) | 8.57 (3.47–22.58) |
*Odds ratios are relative to Mopti form
**Distance (km) with spatial correlation < 5%