Table 2. Final model of 2003 WNv cases as a function of climate and land cover/land use.
Variable | Parameter | 95% Bayesian credible interval | |
5% | 95% | ||
Intercept | −7.917 | −8.132 | −7.690 |
t | 0.877 | 0.608 | 1.149 |
p | −0.695 | −1.212 | −0.147 |
p 2 | −0.409 | −0.629 | −0.204 |
irrigated | 0.337 | 0.194 | 0.483 |
prural | 0.206 | 0.128 | 0.284 |
wetland | 0.002 | −0.158 | 0.162 |
σρ | 0.504 | 0.400 | 0.623 |
DIC | 2007.4 |
t = mean May–July temperature from 1971–2000, p = total May–July precipitation from 1971–2000, irrigated = percent area of irrigated cropland, prural = percent of the population living in rural areas, wetland = percent area of wetlands, σρ = standard deviation of the spatial random effect.