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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2009 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Hepatology. 2008 Nov;48(5):1549–1557. doi: 10.1002/hep.22517

Figure 2. Performance of Prognostic Tests at Specified Time Points In the Disease Process of PBC.

Figure 2

The ability of each prognostic test to predict whether an individual would develop a clinical complication was examined at different time points before the first event. Near the time of the first event (year 0), the ROC curves overlapped considerably. However, at earlier time points (4 and 6 years before the first clinical event), ELF score and histological fibrosis performed better as prognostic tests. (ANOVA p=0.003 at 4 years and p=0.007 at 6 years).